Official meteorological observations from Warsaw stations on August 29, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 23°C during afternoon hours, with hourly readings peaking near that level under partly cloudy conditions and light westerly winds. This directly aligns with the market-implied outcome, as post-event data from authoritative monitoring sources eliminated uncertainty in the temperature threshold. Trader consensus reflects the finality of verified measurements rather than forecasts, with minimal scope for revision unless official records undergo rare recalibration due to instrumentation checks. Scenarios that could challenge the 100% positioning remain limited to administrative corrections or disputes over station selection criteria.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 29 août ?
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$37,565 Vol.
$37,565 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$37,565 Vol.
$37,565 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Official meteorological observations from Warsaw stations on August 29, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 23°C during afternoon hours, with hourly readings peaking near that level under partly cloudy conditions and light westerly winds. This directly aligns with the market-implied outcome, as post-event data from authoritative monitoring sources eliminated uncertainty in the temperature threshold. Trader consensus reflects the finality of verified measurements rather than forecasts, with minimal scope for revision unless official records undergo rare recalibration due to instrumentation checks. Scenarios that could challenge the 100% positioning remain limited to administrative corrections or disputes over station selection criteria.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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