Recent forecast consensus from global models points to a highest temperature in Warsaw on September 1 of 21–23 °C, with westerly flow advecting cooler maritime air and limiting daytime heating under partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to exact cloud cover and timing of any convective activity, keeping the distribution tightly centered on 21–22 °C while trimming odds for 24 °C or higher. Historical early-September climatology near 20–22 °C provides additional context, but the immediate steering pattern and model agreement are the dominant drivers of the narrow market spread. New high-resolution runs and surface observations over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 1er septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 1er septembre ?
22°C 39%
21°C 38%
23°C 12%
20°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
9%
21°C
38%
22°C
39%
23°C
12%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 39%
21°C 38%
23°C 12%
20°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
17°C or below
$177 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$104 Vol.
2%
19°C
$62 Vol.
2%
20°C
$41 Vol.
9%
21°C
$222 Vol.
38%
22°C
$1,760 Vol.
39%
23°C
$9 Vol.
12%
24°C
$5 Vol.
4%
25°C
$5 Vol.
2%
26°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from global models points to a highest temperature in Warsaw on September 1 of 21–23 °C, with westerly flow advecting cooler maritime air and limiting daytime heating under partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to exact cloud cover and timing of any convective activity, keeping the distribution tightly centered on 21–22 °C while trimming odds for 24 °C or higher. Historical early-September climatology near 20–22 °C provides additional context, but the immediate steering pattern and model agreement are the dominant drivers of the narrow market spread. New high-resolution runs and surface observations over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$2,385Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from global models points to a highest temperature in Warsaw on September 1 of 21–23 °C, with westerly flow advecting cooler maritime air and limiting daytime heating under partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to exact cloud cover and timing of any convective activity, keeping the distribution tightly centered on 21–22 °C while trimming odds for 24 °C or higher. Historical early-September climatology near 20–22 °C provides additional context, but the immediate steering pattern and model agreement are the dominant drivers of the narrow market spread. New high-resolution runs and surface observations over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,385Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from global models points to a highest temperature in Warsaw on September 1 of 21–23 °C, with westerly flow advecting cooler maritime air and limiting daytime heating under partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to exact cloud cover and timing of any convective activity, keeping the distribution tightly centered on 21–22 °C while trimming odds for 24 °C or higher. Historical early-September climatology near 20–22 °C provides additional context, but the immediate steering pattern and model agreement are the dominant drivers of the narrow market spread. New high-resolution runs and surface observations over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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