Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a mainly sunny day in Toronto on August 18 with a daytime high near 27°C, aligning with the market's leading 61.5% implied probability for that threshold. Late-summer atmospheric conditions, including typical southerly flow and limited cloud cover, support modest warming above the 26°C August climatological average without triggering stronger heat advection or thunderstorm development that could elevate readings. Recent model runs show tight consensus around this range, with minimal spread toward 28°C or cooler outcomes, while historical analogs indicate rare excursions above 29°C under similar synoptic patterns. Updated observations and next forecast cycles will refine resolution criteria based on official maximum temperature measurements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Toronto le 18 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Toronto le 18 août ?
27°C 62%
28°C 26%
26°C 7%
29°C 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 août 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
7%
27°C
62%
28°C
26%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 62%
28°C 26%
26°C 7%
29°C 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 août 2026
22°C or below
$45 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$182 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$483 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$372 Vol.
3%
26°C
$759 Vol.
7%
27°C
$2,164 Vol.
62%
28°C
$663 Vol.
26%
29°C
$542 Vol.
4%
30°C
$426 Vol.
1%
31°C
$388 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$120 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a mainly sunny day in Toronto on August 18 with a daytime high near 27°C, aligning with the market's leading 61.5% implied probability for that threshold. Late-summer atmospheric conditions, including typical southerly flow and limited cloud cover, support modest warming above the 26°C August climatological average without triggering stronger heat advection or thunderstorm development that could elevate readings. Recent model runs show tight consensus around this range, with minimal spread toward 28°C or cooler outcomes, while historical analogs indicate rare excursions above 29°C under similar synoptic patterns. Updated observations and next forecast cycles will refine resolution criteria based on official maximum temperature measurements.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 16, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
Volume
$6,144Date de fin
18 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 16, 2026, 9:55 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a mainly sunny day in Toronto on August 18 with a daytime high near 27°C, aligning with the market's leading 61.5% implied probability for that threshold. Late-summer atmospheric conditions, including typical southerly flow and limited cloud cover, support modest warming above the 26°C August climatological average without triggering stronger heat advection or thunderstorm development that could elevate readings. Recent model runs show tight consensus around this range, with minimal spread toward 28°C or cooler outcomes, while historical analogs indicate rare excursions above 29°C under similar synoptic patterns. Updated observations and next forecast cycles will refine resolution criteria based on official maximum temperature measurements.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,144Date de fin
18 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 16, 2026, 9:55 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a mainly sunny day in Toronto on August 18 with a daytime high near 27°C, aligning with the market's leading 61.5% implied probability for that threshold. Late-summer atmospheric conditions, including typical southerly flow and limited cloud cover, support modest warming above the 26°C August climatological average without triggering stronger heat advection or thunderstorm development that could elevate readings. Recent model runs show tight consensus around this range, with minimal spread toward 28°C or cooler outcomes, while historical analogs indicate rare excursions above 29°C under similar synoptic patterns. Updated observations and next forecast cycles will refine resolution criteria based on official maximum temperature measurements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes