Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models indicate daytime highs in Tel Aviv on August 1 will likely peak near 34–35°C under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions, with high pressure and limited cloud cover supporting strong solar heating. These projections align with climatological baselines of 31–32°C for early August while incorporating short-term model consensus on slightly elevated values, explaining the market’s heavy weighting toward 35°C (53.5%) and 34°C (31.0%). Sea breezes from the Mediterranean may moderate coastal maxima and introduce minor variability, but current guidance shows low precipitation risk and stable steering patterns. Updated model runs and official Israel Meteorological Service briefings expected later today could refine these ranges and influence remaining trader adjustments before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 1er août ?
La température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 1er août ?
35°C 54%
34°C 31%
36°C 11%
33°C 8%
NOUVEAU
$23,627 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$23,627 Vol.
1 août 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
8%
34°C
31%
35°C
54%
36°C
11%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 54%
34°C 31%
36°C 11%
33°C 8%
NOUVEAU
$23,627 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$23,627 Vol.
1 août 2026
31°C or below
$509 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$891 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$2,406 Vol.
8%
34°C
$7,298 Vol.
31%
35°C
$3,837 Vol.
54%
36°C
$2,243 Vol.
11%
37°C
$1,180 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$632 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$354 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$358 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$3,918 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models indicate daytime highs in Tel Aviv on August 1 will likely peak near 34–35°C under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions, with high pressure and limited cloud cover supporting strong solar heating. These projections align with climatological baselines of 31–32°C for early August while incorporating short-term model consensus on slightly elevated values, explaining the market’s heavy weighting toward 35°C (53.5%) and 34°C (31.0%). Sea breezes from the Mediterranean may moderate coastal maxima and introduce minor variability, but current guidance shows low precipitation risk and stable steering patterns. Updated model runs and official Israel Meteorological Service briefings expected later today could refine these ranges and influence remaining trader adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$23,627Date de fin
1 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models indicate daytime highs in Tel Aviv on August 1 will likely peak near 34–35°C under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions, with high pressure and limited cloud cover supporting strong solar heating. These projections align with climatological baselines of 31–32°C for early August while incorporating short-term model consensus on slightly elevated values, explaining the market’s heavy weighting toward 35°C (53.5%) and 34°C (31.0%). Sea breezes from the Mediterranean may moderate coastal maxima and introduce minor variability, but current guidance shows low precipitation risk and stable steering patterns. Updated model runs and official Israel Meteorological Service briefings expected later today could refine these ranges and influence remaining trader adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23,627Date de fin
1 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models indicate daytime highs in Tel Aviv on August 1 will likely peak near 34–35°C under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions, with high pressure and limited cloud cover supporting strong solar heating. These projections align with climatological baselines of 31–32°C for early August while incorporating short-term model consensus on slightly elevated values, explaining the market’s heavy weighting toward 35°C (53.5%) and 34°C (31.0%). Sea breezes from the Mediterranean may moderate coastal maxima and introduce minor variability, but current guidance shows low precipitation risk and stable steering patterns. Updated model runs and official Israel Meteorological Service briefings expected later today could refine these ranges and influence remaining trader adjustments before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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