Current forecasts for Mexico City on August 18 point to a daily high near 25–26°C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities as traders incorporate model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and local meteorological services. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city experiences moderated temperatures compared with lower-altitude regions, while the ongoing rainy season brings afternoon convection and cloud cover that typically caps afternoon peaks. Recent observations show highs fluctuating between 23–27°C amid variable moisture and weak steering winds, with no strong heat dome or anomalous subsidence evident. Historical August averages hover around 22–24°C, providing context for why probabilities cluster tightly around 25–26°C rather than extremes. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine these readings before final market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Mexico le 18 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Mexico le 18 août ?
26°C 42%
25°C 32%
27°C 13%
24°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 août 2026
20°C ou moins
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
7%
25°C
32%
26°C
42%
27°C
13%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C ou plus
<1%
26°C 42%
25°C 32%
27°C 13%
24°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 août 2026
20°C ou moins
$35 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$71 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$344 Vol.
1%
23°C
$394 Vol.
3%
24°C
$570 Vol.
7%
25°C
$566 Vol.
32%
26°C
$1,207 Vol.
42%
27°C
$333 Vol.
13%
28°C
$69 Vol.
3%
29°C
$167 Vol.
1%
30°C ou plus
$252 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Mexico City on August 18 point to a daily high near 25–26°C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities as traders incorporate model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and local meteorological services. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city experiences moderated temperatures compared with lower-altitude regions, while the ongoing rainy season brings afternoon convection and cloud cover that typically caps afternoon peaks. Recent observations show highs fluctuating between 23–27°C amid variable moisture and weak steering winds, with no strong heat dome or anomalous subsidence evident. Historical August averages hover around 22–24°C, providing context for why probabilities cluster tightly around 25–26°C rather than extremes. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine these readings before final market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Volume
$4,009Date de fin
18 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Mexico City on August 18 point to a daily high near 25–26°C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities as traders incorporate model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and local meteorological services. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city experiences moderated temperatures compared with lower-altitude regions, while the ongoing rainy season brings afternoon convection and cloud cover that typically caps afternoon peaks. Recent observations show highs fluctuating between 23–27°C amid variable moisture and weak steering winds, with no strong heat dome or anomalous subsidence evident. Historical August averages hover around 22–24°C, providing context for why probabilities cluster tightly around 25–26°C rather than extremes. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine these readings before final market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,009Date de fin
18 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Mexico City on August 18 point to a daily high near 25–26°C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities as traders incorporate model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and local meteorological services. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city experiences moderated temperatures compared with lower-altitude regions, while the ongoing rainy season brings afternoon convection and cloud cover that typically caps afternoon peaks. Recent observations show highs fluctuating between 23–27°C amid variable moisture and weak steering winds, with no strong heat dome or anomalous subsidence evident. Historical August averages hover around 22–24°C, providing context for why probabilities cluster tightly around 25–26°C rather than extremes. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine these readings before final market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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