Traders have converged on 38°C as the implied outcome for Madrid’s highest temperature on July 31, 2026, reflecting the latest official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and supporting European models that project a daytime maximum near this threshold under stable high-pressure conditions. Historical July averages hover around 32–33°C, but persistent heatwave patterns and minimal cloud cover have elevated expectations, with current observations and model runs showing limited variability in peak readings at representative urban stations. This near-certainty stems from consistent numerical guidance and real-time data, though minor deviations remain possible if localized wind shifts or measurement timing at the primary station alter the recorded high by 1°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Madrid le 31 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Madrid le 31 juillet ?
38°C 100.0%
35°C ou moins <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$119,982 Vol.
$119,982 Vol.
31 juil. 2026
35°C ou moins
Non
36°C
Non
37°C
Non
38°C
Oui
39°C
Non
40°C
Non
41°C
Non
42°C
Non
43°C
Non
44°C
Non
45°C ou plus
Non
38°C 100.0%
35°C ou moins <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$119,982 Vol.
$119,982 Vol.
31 juil. 2026
35°C ou moins
$4,364 Vol.
Non
36°C
$10,394 Vol.
Non
37°C
$26,892 Vol.
Non
38°C
$28,823 Vol.
Oui
39°C
$18,330 Vol.
Non
40°C
$12,349 Vol.
Non
41°C
$6,862 Vol.
Non
42°C
$6,063 Vol.
Non
43°C
$2,141 Vol.
Non
44°C
$1,881 Vol.
Non
45°C ou plus
$1,885 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 38°C as the implied outcome for Madrid’s highest temperature on July 31, 2026, reflecting the latest official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and supporting European models that project a daytime maximum near this threshold under stable high-pressure conditions. Historical July averages hover around 32–33°C, but persistent heatwave patterns and minimal cloud cover have elevated expectations, with current observations and model runs showing limited variability in peak readings at representative urban stations. This near-certainty stems from consistent numerical guidance and real-time data, though minor deviations remain possible if localized wind shifts or measurement timing at the primary station alter the recorded high by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 29, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$119,982Date de fin
31 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 29, 2026, 1:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 38°C as the implied outcome for Madrid’s highest temperature on July 31, 2026, reflecting the latest official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and supporting European models that project a daytime maximum near this threshold under stable high-pressure conditions. Historical July averages hover around 32–33°C, but persistent heatwave patterns and minimal cloud cover have elevated expectations, with current observations and model runs showing limited variability in peak readings at representative urban stations. This near-certainty stems from consistent numerical guidance and real-time data, though minor deviations remain possible if localized wind shifts or measurement timing at the primary station alter the recorded high by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$119,982Date de fin
31 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 29, 2026, 1:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Traders have converged on 38°C as the implied outcome for Madrid’s highest temperature on July 31, 2026, reflecting the latest official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and supporting European models that project a daytime maximum near this threshold under stable high-pressure conditions. Historical July averages hover around 32–33°C, but persistent heatwave patterns and minimal cloud cover have elevated expectations, with current observations and model runs showing limited variability in peak readings at representative urban stations. This near-certainty stems from consistent numerical guidance and real-time data, though minor deviations remain possible if localized wind shifts or measurement timing at the primary station alter the recorded high by 1°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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