Recent forecast models from sources including ECMWF and regional analyses point to peak temperatures in Istanbul on September 6 reaching 29–30°C under clear skies, light to moderate northerly winds, and negligible precipitation risk, aligning closely with the market's leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. These conditions reflect a stable high-pressure pattern suppressing cloud cover and allowing strong daytime heating, consistent with late-summer climatology yet slightly above the long-term September average high near 23–27°C. Updated model runs show limited spread, with minimal chance of deviation into the low 28°C or high 31°C ranges absent unexpected shifts in steering flow. Traders appear to weight the latest observational data and ensemble consensus heavily ahead of the day's resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 6 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 6 septembre ?
29°C 36%
30°C 25%
28°C 21%
27°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 sept. 2026
25°C ou moins
3%
26°C
3%
27°C
7%
28°C
21%
29°C
36%
30°C
25%
31°C
7%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C ou plus
<1%
29°C 36%
30°C 25%
28°C 21%
27°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 sept. 2026
25°C ou moins
$50 Vol.
3%
26°C
$188 Vol.
3%
27°C
$59 Vol.
7%
28°C
$540 Vol.
21%
29°C
$233 Vol.
36%
30°C
$424 Vol.
25%
31°C
$412 Vol.
7%
32°C
$44 Vol.
4%
33°C
$151 Vol.
1%
34°C
$83 Vol.
1%
35°C ou plus
$441 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including ECMWF and regional analyses point to peak temperatures in Istanbul on September 6 reaching 29–30°C under clear skies, light to moderate northerly winds, and negligible precipitation risk, aligning closely with the market's leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. These conditions reflect a stable high-pressure pattern suppressing cloud cover and allowing strong daytime heating, consistent with late-summer climatology yet slightly above the long-term September average high near 23–27°C. Updated model runs show limited spread, with minimal chance of deviation into the low 28°C or high 31°C ranges absent unexpected shifts in steering flow. Traders appear to weight the latest observational data and ensemble consensus heavily ahead of the day's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$2,625Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including ECMWF and regional analyses point to peak temperatures in Istanbul on September 6 reaching 29–30°C under clear skies, light to moderate northerly winds, and negligible precipitation risk, aligning closely with the market's leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. These conditions reflect a stable high-pressure pattern suppressing cloud cover and allowing strong daytime heating, consistent with late-summer climatology yet slightly above the long-term September average high near 23–27°C. Updated model runs show limited spread, with minimal chance of deviation into the low 28°C or high 31°C ranges absent unexpected shifts in steering flow. Traders appear to weight the latest observational data and ensemble consensus heavily ahead of the day's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,625Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including ECMWF and regional analyses point to peak temperatures in Istanbul on September 6 reaching 29–30°C under clear skies, light to moderate northerly winds, and negligible precipitation risk, aligning closely with the market's leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. These conditions reflect a stable high-pressure pattern suppressing cloud cover and allowing strong daytime heating, consistent with late-summer climatology yet slightly above the long-term September average high near 23–27°C. Updated model runs show limited spread, with minimal chance of deviation into the low 28°C or high 31°C ranges absent unexpected shifts in steering flow. Traders appear to weight the latest observational data and ensemble consensus heavily ahead of the day's resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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