Recent meteorological observations and model consensus for Istanbul on September 5, 2026, point to a peak temperature near 27–29°C under clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds typical of early autumn high-pressure patterns in the region. Official station data and short-range forecasts from sources aligned with NOAA and ECMWF equivalents show afternoon maxima stabilizing around these levels, with minimal cloud cover and low humidity supporting efficient daytime heating without exceeding model projections. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 71.5% implied probability for 27°C, aligns with this consensus while assigning lower weight to 28°C or higher outcomes amid slight model spread on wind strength and urban heat island effects. Resolution will hinge on the final official daily maximum from authorized monitoring stations, with no major synoptic changes expected before close of day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 5 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 5 septembre ?
27°C 71%
26°C 16%
28°C 11%
29°C <1%
$12,260 Vol.
$12,260 Vol.
5 sept. 2026
22°C ou moins
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
16%
27°C
71%
28°C
11%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou plus
<1%
27°C 71%
26°C 16%
28°C 11%
29°C <1%
$12,260 Vol.
$12,260 Vol.
5 sept. 2026
22°C ou moins
$862 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$515 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$310 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$930 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,523 Vol.
16%
27°C
$2,692 Vol.
71%
28°C
$945 Vol.
11%
29°C
$796 Vol.
1%
30°C
$561 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$715 Vol.
<1%
32°C ou plus
$411 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and model consensus for Istanbul on September 5, 2026, point to a peak temperature near 27–29°C under clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds typical of early autumn high-pressure patterns in the region. Official station data and short-range forecasts from sources aligned with NOAA and ECMWF equivalents show afternoon maxima stabilizing around these levels, with minimal cloud cover and low humidity supporting efficient daytime heating without exceeding model projections. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 71.5% implied probability for 27°C, aligns with this consensus while assigning lower weight to 28°C or higher outcomes amid slight model spread on wind strength and urban heat island effects. Resolution will hinge on the final official daily maximum from authorized monitoring stations, with no major synoptic changes expected before close of day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$12,260Date de fin
5 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and model consensus for Istanbul on September 5, 2026, point to a peak temperature near 27–29°C under clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds typical of early autumn high-pressure patterns in the region. Official station data and short-range forecasts from sources aligned with NOAA and ECMWF equivalents show afternoon maxima stabilizing around these levels, with minimal cloud cover and low humidity supporting efficient daytime heating without exceeding model projections. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 71.5% implied probability for 27°C, aligns with this consensus while assigning lower weight to 28°C or higher outcomes amid slight model spread on wind strength and urban heat island effects. Resolution will hinge on the final official daily maximum from authorized monitoring stations, with no major synoptic changes expected before close of day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,260Date de fin
5 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological observations and model consensus for Istanbul on September 5, 2026, point to a peak temperature near 27–29°C under clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds typical of early autumn high-pressure patterns in the region. Official station data and short-range forecasts from sources aligned with NOAA and ECMWF equivalents show afternoon maxima stabilizing around these levels, with minimal cloud cover and low humidity supporting efficient daytime heating without exceeding model projections. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 71.5% implied probability for 27°C, aligns with this consensus while assigning lower weight to 28°C or higher outcomes amid slight model spread on wind strength and urban heat island effects. Resolution will hinge on the final official daily maximum from authorized monitoring stations, with no major synoptic changes expected before close of day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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