Forecast consensus from the Finnish Meteorological Institute, ECMWF, and related ensembles positions 20°C as the leading daily maximum for Helsinki on August 18, aligning with the market's 60.5% implied probability. Late-August climatology shows average highs near 19–20°C amid declining solar insolation and Baltic Sea moderation, while recent model runs indicate stable high pressure, light southerly flow, and limited cloud cover supporting slight warming above seasonal norms without reaching 22°C or higher. Narrow ensemble spread keeps 19–21°C outcomes dominant, with residual uncertainty from boundary-layer mixing and sea-surface temperature feedbacks. Official observations and final model guidance expected later today will resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Helsinki le 18 août ?
20°C 59%
21°C 20%
19°C 18%
18°C 3%
$12,720 Vol.
$12,720 Vol.
15°C ou moins
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
3%
19°C
18%
20°C
59%
21°C
20%
22°C
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C ou plus
<1%
20°C 59%
21°C 20%
19°C 18%
18°C 3%
$12,720 Vol.
$12,720 Vol.
15°C ou moins
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
3%
19°C
18%
20°C
59%
21°C
20%
22°C
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C ou plus
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from the Finnish Meteorological Institute, ECMWF, and related ensembles positions 20°C as the leading daily maximum for Helsinki on August 18, aligning with the market's 60.5% implied probability. Late-August climatology shows average highs near 19–20°C amid declining solar insolation and Baltic Sea moderation, while recent model runs indicate stable high pressure, light southerly flow, and limited cloud cover supporting slight warming above seasonal norms without reaching 22°C or higher. Narrow ensemble spread keeps 19–21°C outcomes dominant, with residual uncertainty from boundary-layer mixing and sea-surface temperature feedbacks. Official observations and final model guidance expected later today will resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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