Traders assign overwhelming 99.5% implied probability to a 92-93°F high in Denver on August 17 because official observations from the National Weather Service station at Denver International Airport recorded that exact peak under mostly sunny skies with light winds. This outcome aligns with real-time surface data and aligns closely with the final model consensus from the day prior, which projected afternoon temperatures in the low 90s amid typical August downslope warming. Historical August normals near 87°F and recent model guidance showed limited upside beyond 93°F given stable atmospheric conditions. Only an unlikely post-event data revision or station anomaly could shift the resolution, as the market now reflects verified measurements rather than forecasts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Denver le 17 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Denver le 17 août ?
92-93°F 99.4%
94-95 °F <1%
79°F ou moins <1%
80-81°F <1%
$36,151 Vol.
$36,151 Vol.
17 août 2026
79°F ou moins
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83 °F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87 °F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
99%
94-95 °F
1%
96-97 °F
<1%
98°F ou plus
<1%
92-93°F 99.4%
94-95 °F <1%
79°F ou moins <1%
80-81°F <1%
$36,151 Vol.
$36,151 Vol.
17 août 2026
79°F ou moins
$215 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,872 Vol.
<1%
82-83 °F
$2,925 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$2,013 Vol.
<1%
86-87 °F
$2,278 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$6,853 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$7,971 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$5,935 Vol.
99%
94-95 °F
$3,115 Vol.
1%
96-97 °F
$1,964 Vol.
<1%
98°F ou plus
$1,011 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign overwhelming 99.5% implied probability to a 92-93°F high in Denver on August 17 because official observations from the National Weather Service station at Denver International Airport recorded that exact peak under mostly sunny skies with light winds. This outcome aligns with real-time surface data and aligns closely with the final model consensus from the day prior, which projected afternoon temperatures in the low 90s amid typical August downslope warming. Historical August normals near 87°F and recent model guidance showed limited upside beyond 93°F given stable atmospheric conditions. Only an unlikely post-event data revision or station anomaly could shift the resolution, as the market now reflects verified measurements rather than forecasts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Volume
$36,151Date de fin
17 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign overwhelming 99.5% implied probability to a 92-93°F high in Denver on August 17 because official observations from the National Weather Service station at Denver International Airport recorded that exact peak under mostly sunny skies with light winds. This outcome aligns with real-time surface data and aligns closely with the final model consensus from the day prior, which projected afternoon temperatures in the low 90s amid typical August downslope warming. Historical August normals near 87°F and recent model guidance showed limited upside beyond 93°F given stable atmospheric conditions. Only an unlikely post-event data revision or station anomaly could shift the resolution, as the market now reflects verified measurements rather than forecasts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$36,151Date de fin
17 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign overwhelming 99.5% implied probability to a 92-93°F high in Denver on August 17 because official observations from the National Weather Service station at Denver International Airport recorded that exact peak under mostly sunny skies with light winds. This outcome aligns with real-time surface data and aligns closely with the final model consensus from the day prior, which projected afternoon temperatures in the low 90s amid typical August downslope warming. Historical August normals near 87°F and recent model guidance showed limited upside beyond 93°F given stable atmospheric conditions. Only an unlikely post-event data revision or station anomaly could shift the resolution, as the market now reflects verified measurements rather than forecasts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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