Recent National Weather Service and GFS model consensus points to highs of 98–101°F in Dallas on September 14 under clear skies, southerly winds of 10–15 mph, and dew points near 70°F, supporting the market’s leading implied probabilities for 98–99°F (52.5%) and 100–101°F (35.5%). These conditions align with late-summer patterns where afternoon temperatures typically peak in the upper 90s before any modest cooling. Historical September 14 highs average near 90°F with a 102°F record, yet current ensemble guidance shows limited spread and low precipitation risk, keeping trader focus on the narrow 98–101°F window. Any final NWS forecast adjustments tomorrow morning could influence resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Dallas le 14 septembre ?
98-99°F 53%
100-101°F 36%
102-103°F 6%
96-97 °F 5%
91°F ou moins
<1%
92-93 °F
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97 °F
5%
98-99°F
53%
100-101°F
36%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
1%
110°F ou plus
<1%
98-99°F 53%
100-101°F 36%
102-103°F 6%
96-97 °F 5%
91°F ou moins
<1%
92-93 °F
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97 °F
5%
98-99°F
53%
100-101°F
36%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
1%
110°F ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and GFS model consensus points to highs of 98–101°F in Dallas on September 14 under clear skies, southerly winds of 10–15 mph, and dew points near 70°F, supporting the market’s leading implied probabilities for 98–99°F (52.5%) and 100–101°F (35.5%). These conditions align with late-summer patterns where afternoon temperatures typically peak in the upper 90s before any modest cooling. Historical September 14 highs average near 90°F with a 102°F record, yet current ensemble guidance shows limited spread and low precipitation risk, keeping trader focus on the narrow 98–101°F window. Any final NWS forecast adjustments tomorrow morning could influence resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes