Northeast flow off Lake Michigan is moderating temperatures across the Chicago area ahead of September 6, with National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus pointing to a daytime high in the upper 70s under mostly sunny skies. Recent hot conditions—highs of 91–96°F from September 1–4—have given way to cooler northeast winds of 10–15 mph, limiting afternoon warming and keeping readings near or slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average of roughly 79°F. This setup supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 78–79°F (55.5%) and 76–77°F (34.0%), with only modest probabilities assigned to 80°F or above because models show limited potential for stronger southerly flow or reduced cloud cover. Final resolution will depend on the official Chicago O’Hare maximum temperature observation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chicago le 6 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Chicago le 6 septembre ?
78-79°F 56%
76-77°F 34%
80-81°F 6%
74-75°F 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 sept. 2026
71°F ou moins
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
34%
78-79°F
56%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
2%
86-87 °F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F ou plus
<1%
78-79°F 56%
76-77°F 34%
80-81°F 6%
74-75°F 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 sept. 2026
71°F ou moins
$247 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$154 Vol.
2%
74-75°F
$343 Vol.
5%
76-77°F
$116 Vol.
34%
78-79°F
$1,569 Vol.
56%
80-81°F
$211 Vol.
6%
82-83°F
$111 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$268 Vol.
2%
86-87 °F
$155 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$225 Vol.
<1%
90°F ou plus
$353 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Northeast flow off Lake Michigan is moderating temperatures across the Chicago area ahead of September 6, with National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus pointing to a daytime high in the upper 70s under mostly sunny skies. Recent hot conditions—highs of 91–96°F from September 1–4—have given way to cooler northeast winds of 10–15 mph, limiting afternoon warming and keeping readings near or slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average of roughly 79°F. This setup supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 78–79°F (55.5%) and 76–77°F (34.0%), with only modest probabilities assigned to 80°F or above because models show limited potential for stronger southerly flow or reduced cloud cover. Final resolution will depend on the official Chicago O’Hare maximum temperature observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,751Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Northeast flow off Lake Michigan is moderating temperatures across the Chicago area ahead of September 6, with National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus pointing to a daytime high in the upper 70s under mostly sunny skies. Recent hot conditions—highs of 91–96°F from September 1–4—have given way to cooler northeast winds of 10–15 mph, limiting afternoon warming and keeping readings near or slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average of roughly 79°F. This setup supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 78–79°F (55.5%) and 76–77°F (34.0%), with only modest probabilities assigned to 80°F or above because models show limited potential for stronger southerly flow or reduced cloud cover. Final resolution will depend on the official Chicago O’Hare maximum temperature observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,751Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Northeast flow off Lake Michigan is moderating temperatures across the Chicago area ahead of September 6, with National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus pointing to a daytime high in the upper 70s under mostly sunny skies. Recent hot conditions—highs of 91–96°F from September 1–4—have given way to cooler northeast winds of 10–15 mph, limiting afternoon warming and keeping readings near or slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average of roughly 79°F. This setup supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 78–79°F (55.5%) and 76–77°F (34.0%), with only modest probabilities assigned to 80°F or above because models show limited potential for stronger southerly flow or reduced cloud cover. Final resolution will depend on the official Chicago O’Hare maximum temperature observation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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