Forecast models for Chengdu on September 14 indicate a moderating influence from increased cloud cover and scattered showers tied to a passing weather system, keeping maximum temperatures clustered near 24–26°C. Light winds and high humidity will limit daytime heating, while variable timing of precipitation across ensembles creates the tight spread in market-implied odds between 24°C, 25°C, and 26°C. Official guidance from regional meteorological services highlights uncertainty in exact cloud thickness and rainfall onset, which directly affects peak solar radiation and surface energy balance. Traders appear to weigh these near-term atmospheric conditions heavily, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer or cooler extremes given the consistent signal for suppressed highs relative to recent clear days.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chengdu le 14 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Chengdu le 14 septembre ?
26°C 29%
25°C 22%
24°C 22%
27°C 12%
NOUVEAU
$11,641 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$11,641 Vol.
14 sept. 2026
22°C ou moins
12%
23°C
9%
24°C
22%
25°C
22%
26°C
29%
27°C
12%
28°C
4%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou plus
<1%
26°C 29%
25°C 22%
24°C 22%
27°C 12%
NOUVEAU
$11,641 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$11,641 Vol.
14 sept. 2026
22°C ou moins
$2,818 Vol.
12%
23°C
$1,097 Vol.
9%
24°C
$1,725 Vol.
22%
25°C
$549 Vol.
22%
26°C
$1,835 Vol.
29%
27°C
$983 Vol.
12%
28°C
$526 Vol.
4%
29°C
$505 Vol.
2%
30°C
$671 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$460 Vol.
<1%
32°C ou plus
$472 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Chengdu on September 14 indicate a moderating influence from increased cloud cover and scattered showers tied to a passing weather system, keeping maximum temperatures clustered near 24–26°C. Light winds and high humidity will limit daytime heating, while variable timing of precipitation across ensembles creates the tight spread in market-implied odds between 24°C, 25°C, and 26°C. Official guidance from regional meteorological services highlights uncertainty in exact cloud thickness and rainfall onset, which directly affects peak solar radiation and surface energy balance. Traders appear to weigh these near-term atmospheric conditions heavily, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer or cooler extremes given the consistent signal for suppressed highs relative to recent clear days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$11,641Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Chengdu on September 14 indicate a moderating influence from increased cloud cover and scattered showers tied to a passing weather system, keeping maximum temperatures clustered near 24–26°C. Light winds and high humidity will limit daytime heating, while variable timing of precipitation across ensembles creates the tight spread in market-implied odds between 24°C, 25°C, and 26°C. Official guidance from regional meteorological services highlights uncertainty in exact cloud thickness and rainfall onset, which directly affects peak solar radiation and surface energy balance. Traders appear to weigh these near-term atmospheric conditions heavily, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer or cooler extremes given the consistent signal for suppressed highs relative to recent clear days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,641Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Chengdu on September 14 indicate a moderating influence from increased cloud cover and scattered showers tied to a passing weather system, keeping maximum temperatures clustered near 24–26°C. Light winds and high humidity will limit daytime heating, while variable timing of precipitation across ensembles creates the tight spread in market-implied odds between 24°C, 25°C, and 26°C. Official guidance from regional meteorological services highlights uncertainty in exact cloud thickness and rainfall onset, which directly affects peak solar radiation and surface energy balance. Traders appear to weigh these near-term atmospheric conditions heavily, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer or cooler extremes given the consistent signal for suppressed highs relative to recent clear days.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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