Incumbent Democrat Lou Correa secured the nomination in the recent California primary for the 46th congressional district, advancing comfortably against Republican David Pan. The seat's strong Democratic lean, reinforced by Correa's prior election margins and the district's voter base in Orange County, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 95 percent. Low Republican primary performance and absence of notable scandals or redistricting shifts have kept the race non-competitive. A late surge by the Republican challenger would require either a major national political realignment or an unforeseen event affecting the incumbent, such as a significant personal or ethical controversy emerging before November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCA-46 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
CA-46 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$15,402 Vol.
$15,402 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
95%
Parti républicain
6%
$15,402 Vol.
$15,402 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$4,636 Vol.
95%
Parti républicain
$10,765 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lou Correa secured the nomination in the recent California primary for the 46th congressional district, advancing comfortably against Republican David Pan. The seat's strong Democratic lean, reinforced by Correa's prior election margins and the district's voter base in Orange County, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 95 percent. Low Republican primary performance and absence of notable scandals or redistricting shifts have kept the race non-competitive. A late surge by the Republican challenger would require either a major national political realignment or an unforeseen event affecting the incumbent, such as a significant personal or ethical controversy emerging before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$15,402Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lou Correa secured the nomination in the recent California primary for the 46th congressional district, advancing comfortably against Republican David Pan. The seat's strong Democratic lean, reinforced by Correa's prior election margins and the district's voter base in Orange County, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 95 percent. Low Republican primary performance and absence of notable scandals or redistricting shifts have kept the race non-competitive. A late surge by the Republican challenger would require either a major national political realignment or an unforeseen event affecting the incumbent, such as a significant personal or ethical controversy emerging before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,402Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Lou Correa secured the nomination in the recent California primary for the 46th congressional district, advancing comfortably against Republican David Pan. The seat's strong Democratic lean, reinforced by Correa's prior election margins and the district's voter base in Orange County, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 95 percent. Low Republican primary performance and absence of notable scandals or redistricting shifts have kept the race non-competitive. A late surge by the Republican challenger would require either a major national political realignment or an unforeseen event affecting the incumbent, such as a significant personal or ethical controversy emerging before November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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