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icon for WA-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
Politique·Élections Du 4 Novembre

WA-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre

icon for WA-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
Politique·Élections Du 4 Novembre

WA-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre

Polymarket

$34,169 Vol.

Polymarket

$34,169 Vol.

Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D)

$23,177 Vol.

87%

John Braun (R)

$10,992 Vol.

13%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Marie Gluesenkamp Perez holds an overwhelming edge in the WA-03 general election matchup after advancing from the August 4 top-two primary alongside Republican John Braun.** In that contest, Perez captured roughly 39 percent while Braun took about 40 percent, with a progressive Democratic challenger drawing 17 percent; the combined Democratic share exceeded 55 percent against roughly 42 percent for Republicans. This outcome, in a district that backed Donald Trump in 2024 yet elected and re-elected the moderate Blue Dog incumbent in 2022 and 2024, has reinforced trader views of Perez’s structural advantages, including incumbency, stronger fundraising, and appeal to the district’s swing voters. Braun, the state Senate minority leader endorsed by Trump, faces a narrower path in a race rated toss-up or lean Democratic by most forecasters. The November 3 general remains months away, but the primary results and vote math have anchored current market pricing.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$34,169
Date de fin
4 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET

Résolveur

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Marie Gluesenkamp Perez holds an overwhelming edge in the WA-03 general election matchup after advancing from the August 4 top-two primary alongside Republican John Braun.** In that contest, Perez captured roughly 39 percent while Braun took about 40 percent, with a progressive Democratic challenger drawing 17 percent; the combined Democratic share exceeded 55 percent against roughly 42 percent for Republicans. This outcome, in a district that backed Donald Trump in 2024 yet elected and re-elected the moderate Blue Dog incumbent in 2022 and 2024, has reinforced trader views of Perez’s structural advantages, including incumbency, stronger fundraising, and appeal to the district’s swing voters. Braun, the state Senate minority leader endorsed by Trump, faces a narrower path in a race rated toss-up or lean Democratic by most forecasters. The November 3 general remains months away, but the primary results and vote math have anchored current market pricing.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$34,169
Date de fin
4 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET

Résolveur

0x2F5e3684c...

Connexes

icon for Le Parti démocrate remportera-t-il le siège de la Chambre du WA-06 ?

Le Parti démocrate remportera-t-il le siège de la Chambre du WA-06 ?

95%
Oui
icon for Le Parti démocrate remportera-t-il le siège de la Chambre du district WA-02 ?

Le Parti démocrate remportera-t-il le siège de la Chambre du district WA-02 ?

96%
Oui
icon for Le Parti démocrate remportera-t-il le siège de la Chambre pour la circonscription WA-07 ?

Le Parti démocrate remportera-t-il le siège de la Chambre pour la circonscription WA-07 ?

96%
Oui

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Questions fréquentes

« WA-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D) » à 87%, suivi de « John Braun (R) » à 13%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 87¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 87% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « WA-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre » a généré $34.2K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Dec 16, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « WA-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « WA-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre » est « Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D) » à 87%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 87% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « John Braun (R) » à 13%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « WA-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.