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icon for Anthony Albanese devient Premier ministre d'Australie d'ici... ?

Anthony Albanese devient Premier ministre d'Australie d'ici... ?

icon for Anthony Albanese devient Premier ministre d'Australie d'ici... ?

Anthony Albanese devient Premier ministre d'Australie d'ici... ?

$15,736 Vol.

30 déc. 2026
Polymarket

$15,736 Vol.

Polymarket

31 décembre

$7,735 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthony Albanese ceases to be the Prime Minister of Australia for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Anthony Albanese's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian government and Anthony Albanese; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthony Albanese ceases to be the Prime Minister of Australia for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Anthony Albanese's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian government and Anthony Albanese; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anthony Albanese secured a landslide re-election for Labor in the May 2025 federal election, delivering the party 94 House seats and its strongest result in decades while becoming the first prime minister in 21 years to win consecutive terms. This outcome, driven by voter preference for domestic policy continuity over opposition alternatives, has anchored his position ahead of the next scheduled election by 2028. Recent minor controversies, including a diplomatic gaffe in mid-2026, have not altered the underlying parliamentary arithmetic or triggered any formal leadership challenge within the Labor caucus. Trader consensus on an early exit therefore reflects the absence of immediate catalysts such as a no-confidence vote, party-room spill, or snap election trigger, though shifts in polling or internal dynamics could still introduce volatility before the fixed term ends.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthony Albanese ceases to be the Prime Minister of Australia for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Anthony Albanese's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian government and Anthony Albanese; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$15,736
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthony Albanese ceases to be the Prime Minister of Australia for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Anthony Albanese's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian government and Anthony Albanese; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthony Albanese ceases to be the Prime Minister of Australia for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Anthony Albanese's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian government and Anthony Albanese; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthony Albanese ceases to be the Prime Minister of Australia for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Anthony Albanese's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian government and Anthony Albanese; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anthony Albanese secured a landslide re-election for Labor in the May 2025 federal election, delivering the party 94 House seats and its strongest result in decades while becoming the first prime minister in 21 years to win consecutive terms. This outcome, driven by voter preference for domestic policy continuity over opposition alternatives, has anchored his position ahead of the next scheduled election by 2028. Recent minor controversies, including a diplomatic gaffe in mid-2026, have not altered the underlying parliamentary arithmetic or triggered any formal leadership challenge within the Labor caucus. Trader consensus on an early exit therefore reflects the absence of immediate catalysts such as a no-confidence vote, party-room spill, or snap election trigger, though shifts in polling or internal dynamics could still introduce volatility before the fixed term ends.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthony Albanese ceases to be the Prime Minister of Australia for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Anthony Albanese's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian government and Anthony Albanese; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$15,736
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthony Albanese ceases to be the Prime Minister of Australia for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Anthony Albanese's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian government and Anthony Albanese; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Anthony Albanese devient Premier ministre d'Australie d'ici... ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 31 décembre » à 7%, suivi de « 30 juin » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 7¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 7% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Anthony Albanese devient Premier ministre d'Australie d'ici... ? » a généré $15.7K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jan 19, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Anthony Albanese devient Premier ministre d'Australie d'ici... ? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

C'est un marché très ouvert. Le leader actuel pour « Anthony Albanese devient Premier ministre d'Australie d'ici... ? » est « 31 décembre » à seulement 7%, avec « 30 juin » juste derrière à 0%. Aucun résultat ne dominant clairement, les traders voient cela comme très incertain, ce qui peut présenter des opportunités de trading uniques. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel, alors ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Anthony Albanese devient Premier ministre d'Australie d'ici... ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.