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Politics·President

Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

icon for Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?
Politics·President

Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

$41,164 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$41,164 Vol.

Polymarket
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Pete Buttigieg

$64 Vol.

85%

icon for Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom

$3,470 Vol.

82%

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Andy Beshear

$20 Vol.

78%

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J.D. Vance

$95 Vol.

76%

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Ted Cruz

$1,136 Vol.

76%

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Rahm Emanuel

$70 Vol.

74%

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Josh Shapiro

$80 Vol.

70%

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J.B. Pritzker

$45 Vol.

67%

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Cory Booker

$852 Vol.

67%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$2,163 Vol.

67%

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Kamala Harris

$525 Vol.

66%

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Ron DeSantis

$468 Vol.

75%

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Mark Kelly

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63%

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Wes Moore

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60%

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Jon Ossoff

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56%

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Candace Owens

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51%

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Sarah Huckabee Sanders

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50%

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Ivanka Trump

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49%

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Kristi Noem

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48%

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Marco Rubio

$1,099 Vol.

48%

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Matt Gaetz

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47%

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Don Lemon

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47%

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Rand Paul

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36%

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Jared Polis

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Andrew Yang

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39%

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Gretchen Whitmer

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32%

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Vivek Ramaswamy

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31%

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Raphael Warnock

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30%

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Nikki Haley

$60 Vol.

30%

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Glenn Youngkin

$468 Vol.

28%

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Katie Britt

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28%

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$465 Vol.

28%

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George Clooney

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27%

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Donald Trump

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27%

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Steve Bannon

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Beto O’Rourke

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26%

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Donald Trump Jr.

$332 Vol.

26%

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Tulsi Gabbard

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25%

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Brian Kemp

$262 Vol.

25%

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Josh Hawley

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25%

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Marjorie Taylor Greene

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23%

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John Fetterman

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22%

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Liz Cheney

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21%

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Gina Raimondo

$1,076 Vol.

20%

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Phil Murphy

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20%

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Mark Cuban

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17%

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17%

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17%

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Mike Pence

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17%

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Bernie Sanders

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16%

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Greg Abbott

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16%

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Michelle Obama

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16%

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Hunter Biden

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14%

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14%

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Tom Brady

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13%

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MrBeast

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13%

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Zohran Mamdani

$970 Vol.

13%

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Roy Cooper

$0 Vol.

13%

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Hillary Clinton

$1,990 Vol.

11%

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Erika Kirk

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10%

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Tim Walz

$1,961 Vol.

8%

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Barack Obama

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7%

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Chelsea Clinton

$63 Vol.

4%

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LeBron James

$99 Vol.

1%

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Byron Donalds

$64 Vol.

37%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of August 2026, no major-party candidates have formally announced 2028 presidential campaigns, though exploratory activity and FEC filings by lesser-known figures have begun. Trader sentiment reflects expectations that announcements will accelerate after the November 2026 midterms, driven by early positioning from figures like sitting Vice President JD Vance and other discussed contenders. Key catalysts include Democratic Party decisions on the 2028 primary calendar, polling trends among potential nominees, and coalition-building signals ahead of primaries and caucuses. Historical patterns show campaigns launching progressively earlier, with media speculation and donor interest likely to intensify through 2027. Midterm results and any shifts in party leadership could further shape timelines and field dynamics before the 2028 nominating contests.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$41,164
End Date
Dec 31, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of August 2026, no major-party candidates have formally announced 2028 presidential campaigns, though exploratory activity and FEC filings by lesser-known figures have begun. Trader sentiment reflects expectations that announcements will accelerate after the November 2026 midterms, driven by early positioning from figures like sitting Vice President JD Vance and other discussed contenders. Key catalysts include Democratic Party decisions on the 2028 primary calendar, polling trends among potential nominees, and coalition-building signals ahead of primaries and caucuses. Historical patterns show campaigns launching progressively earlier, with media speculation and donor interest likely to intensify through 2027. Midterm results and any shifts in party leadership could further shape timelines and field dynamics before the 2028 nominating contests.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$41,164
End Date
Dec 31, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 71+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Pete Buttigieg" at 85%, followed by "Gavin Newsom" at 82%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 85¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?" has generated $41.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?," browse the 71+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?" is "Pete Buttigieg" at 85%, meaning the market assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 82%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.