Russia's September 18–20, 2026, State Duma elections use a mixed system of proportional party-list voting with a 5% threshold and single-member districts. United Russia, the ruling party, maintains organizational dominance and leads recent polls by wide margins, positioning it to secure the largest share of seats through both mechanisms. The four main systemic opposition parties—Communist Party (KPRF), LDPR, A Just Russia, and New People—have registered lists and are projected in surveys to clear the threshold, aided by established regional structures and district nominations. Yabloko's federal list was disqualified by the Supreme Court in August following a legal challenge, limiting its prospects primarily to individual constituencies. No other parties have mounted competitive challenges in recent cycles, reflecting the narrowed field of registered participants and procedural requirements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
98%

Rodina
84%

Russian Party of Pensioners for Social Justice
7%

Russian Ecological Party “The Greens”
6%
$3,765 Vol.

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
98%

Rodina
84%

Russian Party of Pensioners for Social Justice
7%

Russian Ecological Party “The Greens”
6%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”.
Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”.
These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”.
Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”.
These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russia's September 18–20, 2026, State Duma elections use a mixed system of proportional party-list voting with a 5% threshold and single-member districts. United Russia, the ruling party, maintains organizational dominance and leads recent polls by wide margins, positioning it to secure the largest share of seats through both mechanisms. The four main systemic opposition parties—Communist Party (KPRF), LDPR, A Just Russia, and New People—have registered lists and are projected in surveys to clear the threshold, aided by established regional structures and district nominations. Yabloko's federal list was disqualified by the Supreme Court in August following a legal challenge, limiting its prospects primarily to individual constituencies. No other parties have mounted competitive challenges in recent cycles, reflecting the narrowed field of registered participants and procedural requirements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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