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icon for Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner
Elections·Canada

Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner
Elections·Canada

Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner

Ken Sim 43%

Pete Fry 33.5%

Kareem Allam 11%

William Azaroff 4.8%

Polymarket

$183,102 Vol.

Ken Sim 43%

Pete Fry 33.5%

Kareem Allam 11%

William Azaroff 4.8%

Polymarket

$183,102 Vol.

icon for Ken Sim

Ken Sim

$33,580 Vol.

43%

icon for Pete Fry

Pete Fry

$31,576 Vol.

34%

icon for Kareem Allam

Kareem Allam

$66,297 Vol.

11%

icon for William Azaroff

William Azaroff

$16,855 Vol.

5%

icon for Colleen Hardwick

Colleen Hardwick

$5,084 Vol.

3%

icon for John Coupar

John Coupar

$5,357 Vol.

1%

icon for Kirk LaPointe

Kirk LaPointe

$3,652 Vol.

1%

icon for Stephanie Allen

Stephanie Allen

$982 Vol.

1%

icon for Rebecca Bligh

Rebecca Bligh

$4,377 Vol.

1%

icon for Amanda Burrows

Amanda Burrows

$2,983 Vol.

1%

icon for Sean Orr

Sean Orr

$3,086 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tim Louis

Tim Louis

$6,491 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fred Harding

Fred Harding

$2,779 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.The tight Vancouver mayoral contest reflects a fragmented field ahead of the October 17 vote, with incumbent Ken Sim holding a modest edge in trader pricing due to his ABC Vancouver base among homeowners while facing underwater approval ratings and strong progressive opposition. Recent polls show mixed results, with Pete Fry leading or close among decided voters in some surveys but trailing Sim in others when including undecideds exceeding 25 percent. Efforts by Green, OneCity, and COPE parties to consolidate behind a single challenger—following Stephanie Allen’s withdrawal—remain unresolved near the September 11 nomination deadline, raising the prospect of vote splitting that could aid Sim’s re-election bid. Kareem Allam’s independent Liberal candidacy adds further fragmentation, sustaining uncertainty around turnout patterns and last-minute alignments.

The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Volume
$183,102
End Date
Oct 17, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 4:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.The tight Vancouver mayoral contest reflects a fragmented field ahead of the October 17 vote, with incumbent Ken Sim holding a modest edge in trader pricing due to his ABC Vancouver base among homeowners while facing underwater approval ratings and strong progressive opposition. Recent polls show mixed results, with Pete Fry leading or close among decided voters in some surveys but trailing Sim in others when including undecideds exceeding 25 percent. Efforts by Green, OneCity, and COPE parties to consolidate behind a single challenger—following Stephanie Allen’s withdrawal—remain unresolved near the September 11 nomination deadline, raising the prospect of vote splitting that could aid Sim’s re-election bid. Kareem Allam’s independent Liberal candidacy adds further fragmentation, sustaining uncertainty around turnout patterns and last-minute alignments.

The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Volume
$183,102
End Date
Oct 17, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 4:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ken Sim" at 43%, followed by "Pete Fry" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner" has generated $183.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner" is "Ken Sim" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Pete Fry" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.