**Texas's 32nd congressional district was redrawn in 2025, shifting its partisan balance toward Republicans and prompting the Democratic incumbent to seek another seat.** This left an open race with no sitting member defending the district. Republican attorney Jace Yarbrough secured the GOP nomination after the March 2026 primary and subsequent runoff, while Democrat Dan Barrios emerged as the Democratic nominee. Analysts rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's updated voter composition and historical voting patterns favoring the GOP in recent cycles. With the general election still months away on November 3, 2026, traders assign the Republican Party a clear lead consistent with the structural advantages created by redistricting. No major new developments have altered the race since the primaries concluded.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTX-32 House Election Winner
TX-32 House Election Winner
$26,345 Обс.
$26,345 Обс.
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
69%
Democratic Party
27%
$26,345 Обс.
$26,345 Обс.
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$25,938 Обс.
69%
Democratic Party
$408 Обс.
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Texas's 32nd congressional district was redrawn in 2025, shifting its partisan balance toward Republicans and prompting the Democratic incumbent to seek another seat.** This left an open race with no sitting member defending the district. Republican attorney Jace Yarbrough secured the GOP nomination after the March 2026 primary and subsequent runoff, while Democrat Dan Barrios emerged as the Democratic nominee.
Analysts rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's updated voter composition and historical voting patterns favoring the GOP in recent cycles. With the general election still months away on November 3, 2026, traders assign the Republican Party a clear lead consistent with the structural advantages created by redistricting. No major new developments have altered the race since the primaries concluded.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Обсяг
$26,345Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Texas's 32nd congressional district was redrawn in 2025, shifting its partisan balance toward Republicans and prompting the Democratic incumbent to seek another seat.** This left an open race with no sitting member defending the district. Republican attorney Jace Yarbrough secured the GOP nomination after the March 2026 primary and subsequent runoff, while Democrat Dan Barrios emerged as the Democratic nominee.
Analysts rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's updated voter composition and historical voting patterns favoring the GOP in recent cycles. With the general election still months away on November 3, 2026, traders assign the Republican Party a clear lead consistent with the structural advantages created by redistricting. No major new developments have altered the race since the primaries concluded.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$26,345Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Texas's 32nd congressional district was redrawn in 2025, shifting its partisan balance toward Republicans and prompting the Democratic incumbent to seek another seat.** This left an open race with no sitting member defending the district. Republican attorney Jace Yarbrough secured the GOP nomination after the March 2026 primary and subsequent runoff, while Democrat Dan Barrios emerged as the Democratic nominee. Analysts rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's updated voter composition and historical voting patterns favoring the GOP in recent cycles. With the general election still months away on November 3, 2026, traders assign the Republican Party a clear lead consistent with the structural advantages created by redistricting. No major new developments have altered the race since the primaries concluded.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання