The Texas 13th congressional district's longstanding Republican lean, reinforced by its rural Panhandle composition and consistent voting history, anchors trader consensus around a Republican victory at 92.5 percent. Incumbent Ronny Jackson secured the GOP nomination with nearly 90 percent in the May 2026 primary, while Democrat Mark Nair advanced unopposed on his side, leaving limited general election competition. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solidly or safely Republican, consistent with the seat's structural advantages for the incumbent party. A national Democratic wave, significant candidate-specific developments, or unusually high turnout shifts could narrow margins, though such scenarios remain low-probability factors in current assessments ahead of the November general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTX-13 House Election Winner
TX-13 House Election Winner
$13,663 Vol.
$13,663 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
8%
$13,663 Vol.
$13,663 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$3,029 Vol.
93%
Democratic Party
$10,634 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 13th congressional district's longstanding Republican lean, reinforced by its rural Panhandle composition and consistent voting history, anchors trader consensus around a Republican victory at 92.5 percent. Incumbent Ronny Jackson secured the GOP nomination with nearly 90 percent in the May 2026 primary, while Democrat Mark Nair advanced unopposed on his side, leaving limited general election competition. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solidly or safely Republican, consistent with the seat's structural advantages for the incumbent party. A national Democratic wave, significant candidate-specific developments, or unusually high turnout shifts could narrow margins, though such scenarios remain low-probability factors in current assessments ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$13,663End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 13th congressional district's longstanding Republican lean, reinforced by its rural Panhandle composition and consistent voting history, anchors trader consensus around a Republican victory at 92.5 percent. Incumbent Ronny Jackson secured the GOP nomination with nearly 90 percent in the May 2026 primary, while Democrat Mark Nair advanced unopposed on his side, leaving limited general election competition. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solidly or safely Republican, consistent with the seat's structural advantages for the incumbent party. A national Democratic wave, significant candidate-specific developments, or unusually high turnout shifts could narrow margins, though such scenarios remain low-probability factors in current assessments ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$13,663End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Texas 13th congressional district's longstanding Republican lean, reinforced by its rural Panhandle composition and consistent voting history, anchors trader consensus around a Republican victory at 92.5 percent. Incumbent Ronny Jackson secured the GOP nomination with nearly 90 percent in the May 2026 primary, while Democrat Mark Nair advanced unopposed on his side, leaving limited general election competition. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solidly or safely Republican, consistent with the seat's structural advantages for the incumbent party. A national Democratic wave, significant candidate-specific developments, or unusually high turnout shifts could narrow margins, though such scenarios remain low-probability factors in current assessments ahead of the November general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions