The race for second place in Santa Catarina’s 2026 Senate election remains tightly contested among a crowded field because two PL candidates, Carlos Bolsonaro and Carol de Toni, lead recent Neokemp polling for the two available seats while Décio Lima (PT), Esperidião Amin (PP), and Antídio Lunelli (MDB) trail but stay within striking distance. Official candidate registrations closed in early August after party conventions, leaving little time for further consolidation before October voting. Traders price outcomes near even because the dual-vote system and undecided share create volatility in second-preference flows, with no single challenger yet showing consistent momentum to separate from the PL duo or force a different ranking. Late campaign developments, turnout patterns among right-leaning voters, or shifts in PT or PP support could still reorder the field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSanta Catarina Senate Election: 2nd Place
Santa Catarina Senate Election: 2nd Place
Carol 44%
Carol de Toni 44%
Esperidião Amin 44%
Carlos Bolsonaro 44%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Carol
44%
Carol de Toni
44%
Esperidião Amin
44%
Carlos Bolsonaro
44%
Joaninha de Oliveira
44%
Lunelli
44%
Marcos Dorval
44%
Marlene Soccas
44%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
44%
Jeferson da Rocha
44%
Décio Lima
43%
Afrânio Boppré
43%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
43%
Carol 44%
Carol de Toni 44%
Esperidião Amin 44%
Carlos Bolsonaro 44%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Carol
$0 Vol.
44%
Carol de Toni
$0 Vol.
44%
Esperidião Amin
$0 Vol.
44%
Carlos Bolsonaro
$0 Vol.
44%
Joaninha de Oliveira
$0 Vol.
44%
Lunelli
$0 Vol.
44%
Marcos Dorval
$0 Vol.
44%
Marlene Soccas
$0 Vol.
44%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
$0 Vol.
44%
Jeferson da Rocha
$0 Vol.
44%
Décio Lima
$0 Vol.
43%
Afrânio Boppré
$0 Vol.
43%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
$0 Vol.
43%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The race for second place in Santa Catarina’s 2026 Senate election remains tightly contested among a crowded field because two PL candidates, Carlos Bolsonaro and Carol de Toni, lead recent Neokemp polling for the two available seats while Décio Lima (PT), Esperidião Amin (PP), and Antídio Lunelli (MDB) trail but stay within striking distance. Official candidate registrations closed in early August after party conventions, leaving little time for further consolidation before October voting. Traders price outcomes near even because the dual-vote system and undecided share create volatility in second-preference flows, with no single challenger yet showing consistent momentum to separate from the PL duo or force a different ranking. Late campaign developments, turnout patterns among right-leaning voters, or shifts in PT or PP support could still reorder the field.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The race for second place in Santa Catarina’s 2026 Senate election remains tightly contested among a crowded field because two PL candidates, Carlos Bolsonaro and Carol de Toni, lead recent Neokemp polling for the two available seats while Décio Lima (PT), Esperidião Amin (PP), and Antídio Lunelli (MDB) trail but stay within striking distance. Official candidate registrations closed in early August after party conventions, leaving little time for further consolidation before October voting. Traders price outcomes near even because the dual-vote system and undecided share create volatility in second-preference flows, with no single challenger yet showing consistent momentum to separate from the PL duo or force a different ranking. Late campaign developments, turnout patterns among right-leaning voters, or shifts in PT or PP support could still reorder the field.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The race for second place in Santa Catarina’s 2026 Senate election remains tightly contested among a crowded field because two PL candidates, Carlos Bolsonaro and Carol de Toni, lead recent Neokemp polling for the two available seats while Décio Lima (PT), Esperidião Amin (PP), and Antídio Lunelli (MDB) trail but stay within striking distance. Official candidate registrations closed in early August after party conventions, leaving little time for further consolidation before October voting. Traders price outcomes near even because the dual-vote system and undecided share create volatility in second-preference flows, with no single challenger yet showing consistent momentum to separate from the PL duo or force a different ranking. Late campaign developments, turnout patterns among right-leaning voters, or shifts in PT or PP support could still reorder the field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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