Recent polling across multiple institutes shows the AfD maintaining a consistent 20-point lead over the CDU in Saxony-Anhalt ahead of the 6 September Landtag election, with support near 42-43 percent and all other parties well below 15 percent. This positioning stems from sustained voter shifts in eastern states toward the AfD on issues including immigration policy, economic conditions, and dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP coalition under Minister-President Sven Schulze. With roughly ten days remaining, the margin has shown little movement in the latest surveys, supporting the strong trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. A realistic shift in outcome would require either an unusually large polling error, a major late campaign development altering turnout patterns, or unexpected gains by smaller parties clearing the five-percent threshold in ways that fragment the vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner
AfD 99.4%
CDU <1%
The Left <1%
BSW <1%
$888,397 Vol.
$888,397 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
AfD
99%
CDU
1%
The Left
<1%
BSW
<1%
FDP
<1%
SPD
<1%
The Greens
<1%
AfD 99.4%
CDU <1%
The Left <1%
BSW <1%
$888,397 Vol.
$888,397 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
AfD
$92,044 Vol.
99%
CDU
$504,113 Vol.
1%
The Left
$47,106 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$36,803 Vol.
<1%
FDP
$27,385 Vol.
<1%
SPD
$124,095 Vol.
<1%
The Greens
$56,851 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling across multiple institutes shows the AfD maintaining a consistent 20-point lead over the CDU in Saxony-Anhalt ahead of the 6 September Landtag election, with support near 42-43 percent and all other parties well below 15 percent. This positioning stems from sustained voter shifts in eastern states toward the AfD on issues including immigration policy, economic conditions, and dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP coalition under Minister-President Sven Schulze. With roughly ten days remaining, the margin has shown little movement in the latest surveys, supporting the strong trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. A realistic shift in outcome would require either an unusually large polling error, a major late campaign development altering turnout patterns, or unexpected gains by smaller parties clearing the five-percent threshold in ways that fragment the vote.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Market Opened: Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Volume
$888,397End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling across multiple institutes shows the AfD maintaining a consistent 20-point lead over the CDU in Saxony-Anhalt ahead of the 6 September Landtag election, with support near 42-43 percent and all other parties well below 15 percent. This positioning stems from sustained voter shifts in eastern states toward the AfD on issues including immigration policy, economic conditions, and dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP coalition under Minister-President Sven Schulze. With roughly ten days remaining, the margin has shown little movement in the latest surveys, supporting the strong trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. A realistic shift in outcome would require either an unusually large polling error, a major late campaign development altering turnout patterns, or unexpected gains by smaller parties clearing the five-percent threshold in ways that fragment the vote.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volume
$888,397End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling across multiple institutes shows the AfD maintaining a consistent 20-point lead over the CDU in Saxony-Anhalt ahead of the 6 September Landtag election, with support near 42-43 percent and all other parties well below 15 percent. This positioning stems from sustained voter shifts in eastern states toward the AfD on issues including immigration policy, economic conditions, and dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP coalition under Minister-President Sven Schulze. With roughly ten days remaining, the margin has shown little movement in the latest surveys, supporting the strong trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. A realistic shift in outcome would require either an unusually large polling error, a major late campaign development altering turnout patterns, or unexpected gains by smaller parties clearing the five-percent threshold in ways that fragment the vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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