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icon for NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner
Elections·US Election

NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner
Elections·US Election

NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner

Hakeem Jeffries 96.0%

Chi Ossé <1%

Vance Bostic <1%

Polymarket

$15,198 Vol.

Hakeem Jeffries 96.0%

Chi Ossé <1%

Vance Bostic <1%

Polymarket

$15,198 Vol.

icon for Hakeem Jeffries

Hakeem Jeffries

$8,349 Vol.

96%

icon for Chi Ossé

Chi Ossé

$3,336 Vol.

1%

icon for Vance Bostic

Vance Bostic

$3,513 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District. If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Hakeem Jeffries maintains a commanding lead in the NY-08 Democratic primary market due to his status as the long-serving incumbent and House Minority Leader in a district with a strong Democratic tilt. Potential challengers Chi Ossé and Vance Bostic have withdrawn or been disqualified ahead of the June 23 primary, which has been canceled, leaving Jeffries as the presumptive nominee without opposition on the ballot. This outcome aligns with historical patterns of high re-nomination rates for established congressional incumbents facing limited intra-party competition. Trader consensus reflected in the current pricing could shift only in the event of unforeseen late developments before resolution, such as procedural reversals or new filings, though none appear imminent.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District.

If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$15,198
End Date
Jun 23, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 11, 2025, 5:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District. If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District. If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Hakeem Jeffries maintains a commanding lead in the NY-08 Democratic primary market due to his status as the long-serving incumbent and House Minority Leader in a district with a strong Democratic tilt. Potential challengers Chi Ossé and Vance Bostic have withdrawn or been disqualified ahead of the June 23 primary, which has been canceled, leaving Jeffries as the presumptive nominee without opposition on the ballot. This outcome aligns with historical patterns of high re-nomination rates for established congressional incumbents facing limited intra-party competition. Trader consensus reflected in the current pricing could shift only in the event of unforeseen late developments before resolution, such as procedural reversals or new filings, though none appear imminent.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District.

If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$15,198
End Date
Jun 23, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 11, 2025, 5:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District. If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Hakeem Jeffries" at 96%, followed by "Chi Ossé" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $15.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Hakeem Jeffries" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Chi Ossé" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.