Brad Lander holds a commanding lead in the June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 10th congressional district, reflecting consistent polling advantages of 19 to 34 points over incumbent Dan Goldman in recent surveys. Lander, the former New York City comptroller and 2025 mayoral candidate, has consolidated support from progressive organizations and local elected officials, while highlighting differences on economic policy and foreign aid. Goldman, seeking a third term in the district covering Lower Manhattan and parts of Brooklyn, retains backing from party leadership and has emphasized his legislative record during recent debates. Minor candidates including Cameron Kasky, Alexa Avilés, and Yuh-Line Niou have not mounted competitive campaigns. With the primary one week away, Lander’s position could shift only through unusually low turnout or major late developments in voter sentiment.