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Politics·Mexico

Nuevo León Governor Election Winner

icon for Nuevo León Governor Election Winner
Politics·Mexico

Nuevo León Governor Election Winner

Félix Arratia Cruz 87%

Alma Rosa Marroquín Escamilla 41%

Clara Luz Flores Carrales 41%

Felipe de Jesús Cantú Rodríguez 41%

Polymarket
NEW

Félix Arratia Cruz 87%

Alma Rosa Marroquín Escamilla 41%

Clara Luz Flores Carrales 41%

Felipe de Jesús Cantú Rodríguez 41%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Félix Arratia Cruz

Félix Arratia Cruz

$57 Vol.

87%

icon for Alma Rosa Marroquín Escamilla

Alma Rosa Marroquín Escamilla

$57 Vol.

41%

icon for Clara Luz Flores Carrales

Clara Luz Flores Carrales

$57 Vol.

41%

icon for Felipe de Jesús Cantú Rodríguez

Felipe de Jesús Cantú Rodríguez

$57 Vol.

41%

icon for Jesús Alberto Elizondo

Jesús Alberto Elizondo

$57 Vol.

41%

icon for Adrián de la Garza Santos

Adrián de la Garza Santos

$57 Vol.

41%

icon for Daniel Carrillo Martínez

Daniel Carrillo Martínez

$57 Vol.

41%

icon for Martha Herrera González

Martha Herrera González

$57 Vol.

40%

icon for Andrés Mijes Llovera

Andrés Mijes Llovera

$57 Vol.

40%

icon for Fernando Margáin Berlanga

Fernando Margáin Berlanga

$57 Vol.

38%

icon for Raúl Lozano Caballero

Raúl Lozano Caballero

$71 Vol.

30%

icon for Tatiana Clouthier Carrillo

Tatiana Clouthier Carrillo

$57 Vol.

28%

icon for Annia Gómez Cárdenas

Annia Gómez Cárdenas

$117 Vol.

11%

icon for Héctor García García

Héctor García García

$57 Vol.

7%

icon for Mariana Rodríguez Cantú

Mariana Rodríguez Cantú

$57 Vol.

7%

icon for Waldo Fernández González

Waldo Fernández González

$57 Vol.

6%

icon for Miguel Flores Serna

Miguel Flores Serna

$57 Vol.

6%

icon for Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas

Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas

$85 Vol.

41%

icon for Judith Díaz Delgado

Judith Díaz Delgado

$134 Vol.

35%

icon for Carlos de la Fuente Flores

Carlos de la Fuente Flores

$74 Vol.

42%

icon for Arturo Salinas Garza

Arturo Salinas Garza

$88 Vol.

41%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.The Nuevo León gubernatorial race for 2027 remains fragmented across multiple pre-candidates, producing tightly clustered market prices near or below 50% for leading names. Primary drivers include ongoing party nomination processes, with Morena registering several aspirants such as Tatiana Clouthier Carrillo, Judith Díaz Delgado, Waldo Fernández González, and Andrés Mijes Llovera amid internal coalition discussions, while PRI and PAN explore an alliance that could consolidate support behind figures like Adrián de la Garza Santos. Recent polls from mid-2026 show narrow leads shifting among Movimiento Ciudadano options including Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas and Mariana Rodríguez Cantú, alongside PAN-aligned Arturo Salinas Garza, reflecting uncertainty over final tickets and voter coalitions. No dominant frontrunner has emerged this far ahead of the vote, so developments like formal nominations, alliance announcements, or new surveys could quickly separate probabilities.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$1,417
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.The Nuevo León gubernatorial race for 2027 remains fragmented across multiple pre-candidates, producing tightly clustered market prices near or below 50% for leading names. Primary drivers include ongoing party nomination processes, with Morena registering several aspirants such as Tatiana Clouthier Carrillo, Judith Díaz Delgado, Waldo Fernández González, and Andrés Mijes Llovera amid internal coalition discussions, while PRI and PAN explore an alliance that could consolidate support behind figures like Adrián de la Garza Santos. Recent polls from mid-2026 show narrow leads shifting among Movimiento Ciudadano options including Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas and Mariana Rodríguez Cantú, alongside PAN-aligned Arturo Salinas Garza, reflecting uncertainty over final tickets and voter coalitions. No dominant frontrunner has emerged this far ahead of the vote, so developments like formal nominations, alliance announcements, or new surveys could quickly separate probabilities.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$1,417
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Nuevo León Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 21 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Félix Arratia Cruz" at 44%, followed by "Arturo Salinas Garza" at 43%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Nuevo León Governor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 5, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Nuevo León Governor Election Winner," browse the 21 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Nuevo León Governor Election Winner" is "Félix Arratia Cruz" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Arturo Salinas Garza" at 43%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Nuevo León Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.