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Politics·Mexico

Nayarit Governor Election Winner

icon for Nayarit Governor Election Winner
Politics·Mexico

Nayarit Governor Election Winner

Pavel Jarero Velázquez 83%

Enrique Díaz López 81%

Geraldine Ponce Méndez 41%

Ivideliza Reyes Hernández 41%

Polymarket
NEW

Pavel Jarero Velázquez 83%

Enrique Díaz López 81%

Geraldine Ponce Méndez 41%

Ivideliza Reyes Hernández 41%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Pavel Jarero Velázquez

Pavel Jarero Velázquez

$43 Vol.

83%

icon for Enrique Díaz López

Enrique Díaz López

$49 Vol.

81%

icon for Geraldine Ponce Méndez

Geraldine Ponce Méndez

$49 Vol.

41%

icon for Ivideliza Reyes Hernández

Ivideliza Reyes Hernández

$49 Vol.

41%

icon for Jorge Armando Ortiz Rodríguez

Jorge Armando Ortiz Rodríguez

$49 Vol.

41%

icon for Héctor Santana García

Héctor Santana García

$49 Vol.

40%

icon for Manuel Cota Jiménez

Manuel Cota Jiménez

$49 Vol.

40%

icon for Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu

Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu

$49 Vol.

40%

icon for Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez

Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez

$49 Vol.

38%

icon for Gloria Núñez Sánchez

Gloria Núñez Sánchez

$49 Vol.

33%

icon for María Elizabeth López Blanco

María Elizabeth López Blanco

$49 Vol.

27%

icon for José Ramón Cambero Pérez

José Ramón Cambero Pérez

$49 Vol.

23%

icon for Julieta Mejía Ibáñez

Julieta Mejía Ibáñez

$93 Vol.

30%

icon for Ivonne Sabrina Díaz

Ivonne Sabrina Díaz

$89 Vol.

16%

icon for Luis Zamora Carrillo

Luis Zamora Carrillo

$96 Vol.

19%

icon for Ignacio Flores Medina

Ignacio Flores Medina

$60 Vol.

7%

icon for Paola Vargas Arciniega

Paola Vargas Arciniega

$49 Vol.

7%

icon for Gustavo Ayón Aguirre

Gustavo Ayón Aguirre

$49 Vol.

-

icon for Citlalli Rubí Huerta

Citlalli Rubí Huerta

$60 Vol.

41%

icon for José Antonio Barajas López

José Antonio Barajas López

$83 Vol.

31%

icon for Nadia Ramírez López

Nadia Ramírez López

$58 Vol.

43%

icon for Jesús Armando Vélez Macías

Jesús Armando Vélez Macías

$58 Vol.

38%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nayarit on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.The early stage of the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial race leaves probabilities clustered among leading contenders because no candidate has consolidated broad support more than a year before the vote. Internal surveys show Morena-aligned figures such as Héctor Santana García ahead within their coalition, while names including Julieta Mejía Ibáñez, Luis Zamora Carrillo, and Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez register the strongest general-election intention in available measurements. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty across a wide field that includes PAN, PRI, Movimiento Ciudadano, and Verde contenders. Upcoming party primaries, coalition negotiations, and shifts in statewide polling could widen gaps, while the absence of a clear frontrunner sustains balanced odds until nominations narrow the contest.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nayarit on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$1,278
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 6:59 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nayarit on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nayarit on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.The early stage of the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial race leaves probabilities clustered among leading contenders because no candidate has consolidated broad support more than a year before the vote. Internal surveys show Morena-aligned figures such as Héctor Santana García ahead within their coalition, while names including Julieta Mejía Ibáñez, Luis Zamora Carrillo, and Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez register the strongest general-election intention in available measurements. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty across a wide field that includes PAN, PRI, Movimiento Ciudadano, and Verde contenders. Upcoming party primaries, coalition negotiations, and shifts in statewide polling could widen gaps, while the absence of a clear frontrunner sustains balanced odds until nominations narrow the contest.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nayarit on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$1,278
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 6:59 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nayarit on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Nayarit Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nadia Ramírez López" at 43%, followed by "Pavel Jarero Velázquez" at 42%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Nayarit Governor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 5, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Nayarit Governor Election Winner," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Nayarit Governor Election Winner" is "Nadia Ramírez López" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Pavel Jarero Velázquez" at 42%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Nayarit Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.