Meta’s rapid iteration on the Muse series under Superintelligence Labs chief Alexandr Wang drives current sentiment around a 1.3+ release. After the initial closed Muse Spark in April 2026 and 1.1’s July 9 debut focused on agentic tool use and multimodal reasoning, version 1.2 launched August 5 with coding enhancements, 1M-token context handling, and Muse Code agent capabilities. A smaller open-weight Glimmer model followed days later, signaling Meta’s shift toward broader accessibility amid competition from OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google models. Recent August 20 evaluations highlighted 1.2’s visual reasoning gains, while Meta has previewed a substantially larger model later in 2026. Traders watch API pricing, open-weight timelines, and integration into Quest devices and Ray-Ban glasses as near-term catalysts that could accelerate or delay the next major version.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
5%
September 30
46%
September 15
49%
$3,662 Vol.
August 31
$357 Vol.
5%
September 30
$3,304 Vol.
46%
September 15
$0 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.3+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.3 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.3 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.1 or Muse Spark 1.2 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.3, such as Muse Spark 1.2 (including any open-weight re-release of it), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Meta’s rapid iteration on the Muse series under Superintelligence Labs chief Alexandr Wang drives current sentiment around a 1.3+ release. After the initial closed Muse Spark in April 2026 and 1.1’s July 9 debut focused on agentic tool use and multimodal reasoning, version 1.2 launched August 5 with coding enhancements, 1M-token context handling, and Muse Code agent capabilities. A smaller open-weight Glimmer model followed days later, signaling Meta’s shift toward broader accessibility amid competition from OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google models. Recent August 20 evaluations highlighted 1.2’s visual reasoning gains, while Meta has previewed a substantially larger model later in 2026. Traders watch API pricing, open-weight timelines, and integration into Quest devices and Ray-Ban glasses as near-term catalysts that could accelerate or delay the next major version.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.3+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.3 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.3 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.1 or Muse Spark 1.2 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.3, such as Muse Spark 1.2 (including any open-weight re-release of it), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.3 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.3 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.1 or Muse Spark 1.2 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.3, such as Muse Spark 1.2 (including any open-weight re-release of it), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Volume
$3,662End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.3+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.3 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.3 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.1 or Muse Spark 1.2 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.3, such as Muse Spark 1.2 (including any open-weight re-release of it), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Meta’s rapid iteration on the Muse series under Superintelligence Labs chief Alexandr Wang drives current sentiment around a 1.3+ release. After the initial closed Muse Spark in April 2026 and 1.1’s July 9 debut focused on agentic tool use and multimodal reasoning, version 1.2 launched August 5 with coding enhancements, 1M-token context handling, and Muse Code agent capabilities. A smaller open-weight Glimmer model followed days later, signaling Meta’s shift toward broader accessibility amid competition from OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google models. Recent August 20 evaluations highlighted 1.2’s visual reasoning gains, while Meta has previewed a substantially larger model later in 2026. Traders watch API pricing, open-weight timelines, and integration into Quest devices and Ray-Ban glasses as near-term catalysts that could accelerate or delay the next major version.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.3+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.3 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.3 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.1 or Muse Spark 1.2 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.3, such as Muse Spark 1.2 (including any open-weight re-release of it), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.3 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.3 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.1 or Muse Spark 1.2 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.3, such as Muse Spark 1.2 (including any open-weight re-release of it), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$3,662End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Meta’s rapid iteration on the Muse series under Superintelligence Labs chief Alexandr Wang drives current sentiment around a 1.3+ release. After the initial closed Muse Spark in April 2026 and 1.1’s July 9 debut focused on agentic tool use and multimodal reasoning, version 1.2 launched August 5 with coding enhancements, 1M-token context handling, and Muse Code agent capabilities. A smaller open-weight Glimmer model followed days later, signaling Meta’s shift toward broader accessibility amid competition from OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google models. Recent August 20 evaluations highlighted 1.2’s visual reasoning gains, while Meta has previewed a substantially larger model later in 2026. Traders watch API pricing, open-weight timelines, and integration into Quest devices and Ray-Ban glasses as near-term catalysts that could accelerate or delay the next major version.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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