Meta’s rapid iteration on the Muse Spark family—following the April 2026 debut of the initial model, the July 9 release of multimodal 1.1 with agentic tool-use gains, and the August 5 launch of coding-focused 1.2 alongside the Muse Code beta agent—has shaped trader views on a swift 1.3+ follow-on. The sequence reflects Meta Superintelligence Labs’ deliberate scaling ladder, heavy investment in coding benchmarks, long-context handling, and developer API access that directly competes with frontier models from other labs. Recent open-weight moves like Muse Glimmer (August 10) and statements about future releases signal potential openness, while announcements explicitly flag larger, more capable models ahead. Key near-term catalysts include any Meta AI research blog updates, API expansions, or earnings commentary that could accelerate or delay the next version, with traders weighing historical product timelines against ongoing competitive pressure in agentic AI.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
39%
September 30
55%
$21 Vol.
August 31
$0 Vol.
39%
September 30
$21 Vol.
55%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.3+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.3 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.3 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.1 or Muse Spark 1.2 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.3, such as Muse Spark 1.2 (including any open-weight re-release of it), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Meta’s rapid iteration on the Muse Spark family—following the April 2026 debut of the initial model, the July 9 release of multimodal 1.1 with agentic tool-use gains, and the August 5 launch of coding-focused 1.2 alongside the Muse Code beta agent—has shaped trader views on a swift 1.3+ follow-on. The sequence reflects Meta Superintelligence Labs’ deliberate scaling ladder, heavy investment in coding benchmarks, long-context handling, and developer API access that directly competes with frontier models from other labs. Recent open-weight moves like Muse Glimmer (August 10) and statements about future releases signal potential openness, while announcements explicitly flag larger, more capable models ahead. Key near-term catalysts include any Meta AI research blog updates, API expansions, or earnings commentary that could accelerate or delay the next version, with traders weighing historical product timelines against ongoing competitive pressure in agentic AI.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.3+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.3 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.3 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.1 or Muse Spark 1.2 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.3, such as Muse Spark 1.2 (including any open-weight re-release of it), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.3 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.3 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.1 or Muse Spark 1.2 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.3, such as Muse Spark 1.2 (including any open-weight re-release of it), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Volume
$21End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.3+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.3 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.3 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.1 or Muse Spark 1.2 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.3, such as Muse Spark 1.2 (including any open-weight re-release of it), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Meta’s rapid iteration on the Muse Spark family—following the April 2026 debut of the initial model, the July 9 release of multimodal 1.1 with agentic tool-use gains, and the August 5 launch of coding-focused 1.2 alongside the Muse Code beta agent—has shaped trader views on a swift 1.3+ follow-on. The sequence reflects Meta Superintelligence Labs’ deliberate scaling ladder, heavy investment in coding benchmarks, long-context handling, and developer API access that directly competes with frontier models from other labs. Recent open-weight moves like Muse Glimmer (August 10) and statements about future releases signal potential openness, while announcements explicitly flag larger, more capable models ahead. Key near-term catalysts include any Meta AI research blog updates, API expansions, or earnings commentary that could accelerate or delay the next version, with traders weighing historical product timelines against ongoing competitive pressure in agentic AI.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.3+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.3 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.3 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.1 or Muse Spark 1.2 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.3, such as Muse Spark 1.2 (including any open-weight re-release of it), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.3 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.3 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.1 or Muse Spark 1.2 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.3, such as Muse Spark 1.2 (including any open-weight re-release of it), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$21End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Meta’s rapid iteration on the Muse Spark family—following the April 2026 debut of the initial model, the July 9 release of multimodal 1.1 with agentic tool-use gains, and the August 5 launch of coding-focused 1.2 alongside the Muse Code beta agent—has shaped trader views on a swift 1.3+ follow-on. The sequence reflects Meta Superintelligence Labs’ deliberate scaling ladder, heavy investment in coding benchmarks, long-context handling, and developer API access that directly competes with frontier models from other labs. Recent open-weight moves like Muse Glimmer (August 10) and statements about future releases signal potential openness, while announcements explicitly flag larger, more capable models ahead. Key near-term catalysts include any Meta AI research blog updates, API expansions, or earnings commentary that could accelerate or delay the next version, with traders weighing historical product timelines against ongoing competitive pressure in agentic AI.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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