Michigan's 13th congressional district, centered on Detroit and surrounding suburbs, maintains a strong Democratic lean that underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. The August 4 primary resolved a competitive intra-party contest, with state Representative Donavan McKinney defeating incumbent Shri Thanedar to secure the nomination in a race rated Solid Democratic by outlets including the Cook Political Report. The Republican nominee, T.P. Nykoriak, faces structural disadvantages in a district with consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Factors that could still shift outcomes include late-cycle national political developments, candidate health issues, or unforeseen scandals that alter turnout or voter sentiment before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMI-13 House Election Winner
MI-13 House Election Winner
$48,371 Vol.
$48,371 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
3%
$48,371 Vol.
$48,371 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$28,665 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$19,707 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 13th congressional district, centered on Detroit and surrounding suburbs, maintains a strong Democratic lean that underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. The August 4 primary resolved a competitive intra-party contest, with state Representative Donavan McKinney defeating incumbent Shri Thanedar to secure the nomination in a race rated Solid Democratic by outlets including the Cook Political Report. The Republican nominee, T.P. Nykoriak, faces structural disadvantages in a district with consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Factors that could still shift outcomes include late-cycle national political developments, candidate health issues, or unforeseen scandals that alter turnout or voter sentiment before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$48,371End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 13th congressional district, centered on Detroit and surrounding suburbs, maintains a strong Democratic lean that underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. The August 4 primary resolved a competitive intra-party contest, with state Representative Donavan McKinney defeating incumbent Shri Thanedar to secure the nomination in a race rated Solid Democratic by outlets including the Cook Political Report. The Republican nominee, T.P. Nykoriak, faces structural disadvantages in a district with consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Factors that could still shift outcomes include late-cycle national political developments, candidate health issues, or unforeseen scandals that alter turnout or voter sentiment before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$48,371End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 13th congressional district, centered on Detroit and surrounding suburbs, maintains a strong Democratic lean that underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. The August 4 primary resolved a competitive intra-party contest, with state Representative Donavan McKinney defeating incumbent Shri Thanedar to secure the nomination in a race rated Solid Democratic by outlets including the Cook Political Report. The Republican nominee, T.P. Nykoriak, faces structural disadvantages in a district with consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Factors that could still shift outcomes include late-cycle national political developments, candidate health issues, or unforeseen scandals that alter turnout or voter sentiment before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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