Florida's 22nd congressional district features Democratic incumbent Lois Frankel seeking re-election in November 2026 under a new congressional map enacted in late April and early May after a special legislative session. The map, signed by Governor Ron DeSantis, shifts the statewide balance toward a 24-4 Republican edge and has prompted legal challenges under the state constitution's Fair Districts provisions. Republican primary candidates have filed, while Democrats including Frankel and challengers advance toward their August 18 primary. Traders appear to weigh the redrawn lines and Florida's broader partisan trends as tilting the seat toward the Republican nominee, though the outcome remains sensitive to primary results, court rulings on the map, and general election turnout dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFL-22 House Election Winner
FL-22 House Election Winner
$35,001 Vol.
$35,001 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
57%
Democratic Party
41%
$35,001 Vol.
$35,001 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$20,608 Vol.
57%
Democratic Party
$14,393 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 22nd congressional district features Democratic incumbent Lois Frankel seeking re-election in November 2026 under a new congressional map enacted in late April and early May after a special legislative session. The map, signed by Governor Ron DeSantis, shifts the statewide balance toward a 24-4 Republican edge and has prompted legal challenges under the state constitution's Fair Districts provisions. Republican primary candidates have filed, while Democrats including Frankel and challengers advance toward their August 18 primary. Traders appear to weigh the redrawn lines and Florida's broader partisan trends as tilting the seat toward the Republican nominee, though the outcome remains sensitive to primary results, court rulings on the map, and general election turnout dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volume
$35,001End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 22nd congressional district features Democratic incumbent Lois Frankel seeking re-election in November 2026 under a new congressional map enacted in late April and early May after a special legislative session. The map, signed by Governor Ron DeSantis, shifts the statewide balance toward a 24-4 Republican edge and has prompted legal challenges under the state constitution's Fair Districts provisions. Republican primary candidates have filed, while Democrats including Frankel and challengers advance toward their August 18 primary. Traders appear to weigh the redrawn lines and Florida's broader partisan trends as tilting the seat toward the Republican nominee, though the outcome remains sensitive to primary results, court rulings on the map, and general election turnout dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$35,001End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 22nd congressional district features Democratic incumbent Lois Frankel seeking re-election in November 2026 under a new congressional map enacted in late April and early May after a special legislative session. The map, signed by Governor Ron DeSantis, shifts the statewide balance toward a 24-4 Republican edge and has prompted legal challenges under the state constitution's Fair Districts provisions. Republican primary candidates have filed, while Democrats including Frankel and challengers advance toward their August 18 primary. Traders appear to weigh the redrawn lines and Florida's broader partisan trends as tilting the seat toward the Republican nominee, though the outcome remains sensitive to primary results, court rulings on the map, and general election turnout dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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