The Polymarket consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 62.5% over Republicans at 38.5% for the FL-22 seat reflects the district's underlying partisan composition after the May 2026 redistricting map signed by Governor DeSantis, which shifted boundaries across Broward and Palm Beach counties while facing legal challenges that were upheld for this cycle. Incumbent Democrat Lois Frankel benefits from name recognition and established fundraising, though multiple Democratic primary contenders are competing ahead of the August 18 vote. National midterm dynamics, including historical opposition-party gains and generic ballot trends, provide additional support for Democratic positioning in this open-leaning contest rated Lean Republican by Cook Political Report. Republican primary candidates and stronger recent fundraising totals represent the main countervailing factors that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$14,512 거래량
$14,512 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
65%
Republican Party
38%
$14,512 거래량
$14,512 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$7,018 거래량
65%
Republican Party
$7,494 거래량
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Polymarket consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 62.5% over Republicans at 38.5% for the FL-22 seat reflects the district's underlying partisan composition after the May 2026 redistricting map signed by Governor DeSantis, which shifted boundaries across Broward and Palm Beach counties while facing legal challenges that were upheld for this cycle. Incumbent Democrat Lois Frankel benefits from name recognition and established fundraising, though multiple Democratic primary contenders are competing ahead of the August 18 vote. National midterm dynamics, including historical opposition-party gains and generic ballot trends, provide additional support for Democratic positioning in this open-leaning contest rated Lean Republican by Cook Political Report. Republican primary candidates and stronger recent fundraising totals represent the main countervailing factors that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
거래량
$14,512종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Polymarket consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 62.5% over Republicans at 38.5% for the FL-22 seat reflects the district's underlying partisan composition after the May 2026 redistricting map signed by Governor DeSantis, which shifted boundaries across Broward and Palm Beach counties while facing legal challenges that were upheld for this cycle. Incumbent Democrat Lois Frankel benefits from name recognition and established fundraising, though multiple Democratic primary contenders are competing ahead of the August 18 vote. National midterm dynamics, including historical opposition-party gains and generic ballot trends, provide additional support for Democratic positioning in this open-leaning contest rated Lean Republican by Cook Political Report. Republican primary candidates and stronger recent fundraising totals represent the main countervailing factors that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$14,512종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Polymarket consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 62.5% over Republicans at 38.5% for the FL-22 seat reflects the district's underlying partisan composition after the May 2026 redistricting map signed by Governor DeSantis, which shifted boundaries across Broward and Palm Beach counties while facing legal challenges that were upheld for this cycle. Incumbent Democrat Lois Frankel benefits from name recognition and established fundraising, though multiple Democratic primary contenders are competing ahead of the August 18 vote. National midterm dynamics, including historical opposition-party gains and generic ballot trends, provide additional support for Democratic positioning in this open-leaning contest rated Lean Republican by Cook Political Report. Republican primary candidates and stronger recent fundraising totals represent the main countervailing factors that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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