Current forecast consensus from regional models points to a minimum temperature near 23–24°C in Wuhan on September 20, balancing trader positions between the 18°C-or-below and 28°C-or-higher brackets at equal implied odds. Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and elevated humidity near the Yangtze River limit further temperature drops, while urban heat retention and weak southerly flow prevent sharper rises. Slight model spreads in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing create the observed clustering around mid-20s outcomes. The China Meteorological Administration’s next 48-hour updates and any late adjustments to steering patterns will be the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wuhan on September 20?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on September 20?
18°C or below 100%
28°C or higher 100%
21°C 40%
22°C 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 20, 2026
18°C or below
100%
19°C
38%
20°C
38%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C
38%
24°C
38%
25°C
39%
26°C
38%
27°C
38%
28°C or higher
100%
18°C or below 100%
28°C or higher 100%
21°C 40%
22°C 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 20, 2026
18°C or below
$0 Vol.
100%
19°C
$0 Vol.
38%
20°C
$0 Vol.
38%
21°C
$0 Vol.
40%
22°C
$0 Vol.
40%
23°C
$0 Vol.
38%
24°C
$0 Vol.
38%
25°C
$0 Vol.
39%
26°C
$0 Vol.
38%
27°C
$0 Vol.
38%
28°C or higher
$0 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from regional models points to a minimum temperature near 23–24°C in Wuhan on September 20, balancing trader positions between the 18°C-or-below and 28°C-or-higher brackets at equal implied odds. Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and elevated humidity near the Yangtze River limit further temperature drops, while urban heat retention and weak southerly flow prevent sharper rises. Slight model spreads in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing create the observed clustering around mid-20s outcomes. The China Meteorological Administration’s next 48-hour updates and any late adjustments to steering patterns will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from regional models points to a minimum temperature near 23–24°C in Wuhan on September 20, balancing trader positions between the 18°C-or-below and 28°C-or-higher brackets at equal implied odds. Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and elevated humidity near the Yangtze River limit further temperature drops, while urban heat retention and weak southerly flow prevent sharper rises. Slight model spreads in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing create the observed clustering around mid-20s outcomes. The China Meteorological Administration’s next 48-hour updates and any late adjustments to steering patterns will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from regional models points to a minimum temperature near 23–24°C in Wuhan on September 20, balancing trader positions between the 18°C-or-below and 28°C-or-higher brackets at equal implied odds. Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and elevated humidity near the Yangtze River limit further temperature drops, while urban heat retention and weak southerly flow prevent sharper rises. Slight model spreads in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing create the observed clustering around mid-20s outcomes. The China Meteorological Administration’s next 48-hour updates and any late adjustments to steering patterns will be the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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