Latest National Weather Service and regional model consensus for Panama City, Panama, points to an overnight low near 26°C on September 19, driven by high atmospheric moisture, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent easterly flow and elevated dew points around 24–25°C further suppress temperature drops, while any clearing would allow greater heat loss toward 23–24°C. These conditions align with the late rainy season pattern, where convective activity and humidity typically keep minimums 1–2°C above drier-season baselines. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will refine whether increased storm coverage pushes the low above 26°C or permits modest cooling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on September 19?
Lowest temperature in Panama City on September 19?
24°C 94%
28°C 94%
25°C 93%
30°C or higher 92%
NEW
NEW
Sep 19, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
86%
24°C
94%
25°C
93%
26°C
52%
27°C
72%
28°C
94%
29°C
10%
30°C or higher
92%
24°C 94%
28°C 94%
25°C 93%
30°C or higher 92%
NEW
NEW
Sep 19, 2026
20°C or below
$566 Vol.
1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
2%
22°C
$0 Vol.
3%
23°C
$0 Vol.
86%
24°C
$0 Vol.
94%
25°C
$0 Vol.
93%
26°C
$14 Vol.
52%
27°C
$0 Vol.
72%
28°C
$0 Vol.
94%
29°C
$0 Vol.
10%
30°C or higher
$200 Vol.
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and regional model consensus for Panama City, Panama, points to an overnight low near 26°C on September 19, driven by high atmospheric moisture, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent easterly flow and elevated dew points around 24–25°C further suppress temperature drops, while any clearing would allow greater heat loss toward 23–24°C. These conditions align with the late rainy season pattern, where convective activity and humidity typically keep minimums 1–2°C above drier-season baselines. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will refine whether increased storm coverage pushes the low above 26°C or permits modest cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 17, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$780End Date
Sep 19, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and regional model consensus for Panama City, Panama, points to an overnight low near 26°C on September 19, driven by high atmospheric moisture, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent easterly flow and elevated dew points around 24–25°C further suppress temperature drops, while any clearing would allow greater heat loss toward 23–24°C. These conditions align with the late rainy season pattern, where convective activity and humidity typically keep minimums 1–2°C above drier-season baselines. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will refine whether increased storm coverage pushes the low above 26°C or permits modest cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$780End Date
Sep 19, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and regional model consensus for Panama City, Panama, points to an overnight low near 26°C on September 19, driven by high atmospheric moisture, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent easterly flow and elevated dew points around 24–25°C further suppress temperature drops, while any clearing would allow greater heat loss toward 23–24°C. These conditions align with the late rainy season pattern, where convective activity and humidity typically keep minimums 1–2°C above drier-season baselines. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will refine whether increased storm coverage pushes the low above 26°C or permits modest cooling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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