Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate overnight lows in the upper 60s for September 9 in New York City, driven by a southerly flow of warmer, more humid air under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds. This pattern suppresses radiational cooling compared to clearer, calmer conditions that would favor lower minima near the climatological average of about 64°F. Model consensus shows limited spread, with minimal precipitation risk and no strong frontal passages expected overnight, keeping temperatures from dropping into the mid-60s or below. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 66–73°F bins because small variations in cloud cover, wind speed, or exact timing of any clearing could shift the official Central Park minimum by a degree or two, while warmer outcomes would require stronger advection or delayed cooling. Updated model runs and NWS briefings ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in NYC on September 9?
Lowest temperature in NYC on September 9?
68-69°F 49%
70-71°F 49%
66-67°F 46%
72-73°F 42%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
61°F or below
27%
62-63°F
27%
64-65°F
27%
66-67°F
46%
68-69°F
49%
70-71°F
49%
72-73°F
42%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
15%
80°F or higher
24%
68-69°F 49%
70-71°F 49%
66-67°F 46%
72-73°F 42%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
61°F or below
$0 Vol.
27%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
27%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
27%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
46%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
49%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
49%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
42%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
27%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
16%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
15%
80°F or higher
$0 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate overnight lows in the upper 60s for September 9 in New York City, driven by a southerly flow of warmer, more humid air under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds. This pattern suppresses radiational cooling compared to clearer, calmer conditions that would favor lower minima near the climatological average of about 64°F. Model consensus shows limited spread, with minimal precipitation risk and no strong frontal passages expected overnight, keeping temperatures from dropping into the mid-60s or below. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 66–73°F bins because small variations in cloud cover, wind speed, or exact timing of any clearing could shift the official Central Park minimum by a degree or two, while warmer outcomes would require stronger advection or delayed cooling. Updated model runs and NWS briefings ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate overnight lows in the upper 60s for September 9 in New York City, driven by a southerly flow of warmer, more humid air under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds. This pattern suppresses radiational cooling compared to clearer, calmer conditions that would favor lower minima near the climatological average of about 64°F. Model consensus shows limited spread, with minimal precipitation risk and no strong frontal passages expected overnight, keeping temperatures from dropping into the mid-60s or below. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 66–73°F bins because small variations in cloud cover, wind speed, or exact timing of any clearing could shift the official Central Park minimum by a degree or two, while warmer outcomes would require stronger advection or delayed cooling. Updated model runs and NWS briefings ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate overnight lows in the upper 60s for September 9 in New York City, driven by a southerly flow of warmer, more humid air under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds. This pattern suppresses radiational cooling compared to clearer, calmer conditions that would favor lower minima near the climatological average of about 64°F. Model consensus shows limited spread, with minimal precipitation risk and no strong frontal passages expected overnight, keeping temperatures from dropping into the mid-60s or below. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 66–73°F bins because small variations in cloud cover, wind speed, or exact timing of any clearing could shift the official Central Park minimum by a degree or two, while warmer outcomes would require stronger advection or delayed cooling. Updated model runs and NWS briefings ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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