Eli Cohen secured first place in Likud’s August 17, 2026, primary for the Knesset slate, finishing well ahead of Amir Ohana and Yariv Levin after final vote counts showed strong support from party members. His organizational efforts among activists and unaffiliated voters drove the outcome, while Prime Minister Netanyahu expressed satisfaction with the results and no significant internal challenger emerged. Trader consensus reflects these confirmed primary developments, with the low probability assigned to no primary occurring before the October election. Late disputes over tally procedures or procedural appeals could theoretically alter slate positioning, though published results with full vote counts make such shifts improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEli Cohen 100.0%
Amir Ohana <1%
Nir Barkat <1%
Tally Gotliv <1%
$99,190 Vol.
$99,190 Vol.
Oct 26, 2026
Amir Ohana
No
Nir Barkat
No
Tally Gotliv
No
Israel Katz
No
Yariv Levin
No
Moshe Saada
No
Eli Cohen
Yes
David Amsalem
No
Miki Zohar
No
Boaz Bismuth
No
Almog Cohen
No
Amichai Chikli
No
David Bitan
No
Shlomo Karhi
No
Miri Regev
No
Yoav Kisch
No
No Primary by Knesset Election
No
Eli Cohen 100.0%
Amir Ohana <1%
Nir Barkat <1%
Tally Gotliv <1%
$99,190 Vol.
$99,190 Vol.
Oct 26, 2026
Amir Ohana
$30,622 Vol.
No
Nir Barkat
$2,941 Vol.
No
Tally Gotliv
$18,462 Vol.
No
Israel Katz
$3,026 Vol.
No
Yariv Levin
$5,516 Vol.
No
Moshe Saada
$2,045 Vol.
No
Eli Cohen
$7,897 Vol.
Yes
David Amsalem
$1,457 Vol.
No
Miki Zohar
$1,727 Vol.
No
Boaz Bismuth
$2,414 Vol.
No
Almog Cohen
$1,153 Vol.
No
Amichai Chikli
$977 Vol.
No
David Bitan
$1,431 Vol.
No
Shlomo Karhi
$2,683 Vol.
No
Miri Regev
$1,677 Vol.
No
Yoav Kisch
$1,262 Vol.
No
No Primary by Knesset Election
$13,901 Vol.
No
Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.Eli Cohen secured first place in Likud’s August 17, 2026, primary for the Knesset slate, finishing well ahead of Amir Ohana and Yariv Levin after final vote counts showed strong support from party members. His organizational efforts among activists and unaffiliated voters drove the outcome, while Prime Minister Netanyahu expressed satisfaction with the results and no significant internal challenger emerged. Trader consensus reflects these confirmed primary developments, with the low probability assigned to no primary occurring before the October election. Late disputes over tally procedures or procedural appeals could theoretically alter slate positioning, though published results with full vote counts make such shifts improbable.
Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
Market Opened: Jul 21, 2026, 7:34 PM ET
Volume
$99,190End Date
Oct 26, 2026Market Opened
Jul 21, 2026, 7:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.Eli Cohen secured first place in Likud’s August 17, 2026, primary for the Knesset slate, finishing well ahead of Amir Ohana and Yariv Levin after final vote counts showed strong support from party members. His organizational efforts among activists and unaffiliated voters drove the outcome, while Prime Minister Netanyahu expressed satisfaction with the results and no significant internal challenger emerged. Trader consensus reflects these confirmed primary developments, with the low probability assigned to no primary occurring before the October election. Late disputes over tally procedures or procedural appeals could theoretically alter slate positioning, though published results with full vote counts make such shifts improbable.
Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
Volume
$99,190End Date
Oct 26, 2026Market Opened
Jul 21, 2026, 7:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Eli Cohen secured first place in Likud’s August 17, 2026, primary for the Knesset slate, finishing well ahead of Amir Ohana and Yariv Levin after final vote counts showed strong support from party members. His organizational efforts among activists and unaffiliated voters drove the outcome, while Prime Minister Netanyahu expressed satisfaction with the results and no significant internal challenger emerged. Trader consensus reflects these confirmed primary developments, with the low probability assigned to no primary occurring before the October election. Late disputes over tally procedures or procedural appeals could theoretically alter slate positioning, though published results with full vote counts make such shifts improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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