Apple announced the iPhone 18 Pro on September 9, 2026, confirming a $1,199 starting price for the 256GB model—a $100 increase over the prior generation. The hike stems from sharply higher memory chip costs, with DRAM and NAND prices surging amid AI-driven demand, pushing component expenses up roughly 38 percent year-over-year according to supply-chain analyses. Apple offset some costs through design efficiencies and in-house components but passed along a moderated increase after earlier forecasts of $200-plus rises. Pre-orders opened September 12 with availability set for September 18, aligning with typical launch timelines and providing clear resolution criteria for any related prediction markets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$79,858 Vol.
Mar 31, 2027
$1150+
100%
$1000+
100%
$1100+
99%
$1200+
<1%
$1300+
1%
$79,858 Vol.
$1150+
$21,448 Vol.
100%
$1000+
$2,317 Vol.
100%
$1100+
$14,592 Vol.
99%
$1200+
$25,628 Vol.
<1%
$1300+
$15,873 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of the iPhone 18 Pro launches at the listed price or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of the iPhone 18 Pro as listed on the official Apple Store website or Apple's retail pricing in the United States on the first official day of its release.
If the price differs between configurations (e.g., base storage vs. higher storage), this market will resolve according to the lower price of the version that includes the full standard iPhone 18 Pro model with no additional features, accessories, or services (e.g., base storage capacity only).
If the iPhone 18 Pro is not released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Apple Store (online or retail pricing), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of the iPhone 18 Pro launches at the listed price or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of the iPhone 18 Pro as listed on the official Apple Store website or Apple’s retail pricing in the United States on the first official day of its release.
If the price differs between configurations (e.g., base storage vs. higher storage), this market will resolve according to the lower price of the version that includes the full standard iPhone 18 Pro model with no additional features, accessories, or services (e.g., base storage capacity only).
If the iPhone 18 Pro is not released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Apple Store (online or retail pricing), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Apple announced the iPhone 18 Pro on September 9, 2026, confirming a $1,199 starting price for the 256GB model—a $100 increase over the prior generation. The hike stems from sharply higher memory chip costs, with DRAM and NAND prices surging amid AI-driven demand, pushing component expenses up roughly 38 percent year-over-year according to supply-chain analyses. Apple offset some costs through design efficiencies and in-house components but passed along a moderated increase after earlier forecasts of $200-plus rises. Pre-orders opened September 12 with availability set for September 18, aligning with typical launch timelines and providing clear resolution criteria for any related prediction markets.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of the iPhone 18 Pro launches at the listed price or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of the iPhone 18 Pro as listed on the official Apple Store website or Apple's retail pricing in the United States on the first official day of its release.
If the price differs between configurations (e.g., base storage vs. higher storage), this market will resolve according to the lower price of the version that includes the full standard iPhone 18 Pro model with no additional features, accessories, or services (e.g., base storage capacity only).
If the iPhone 18 Pro is not released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Apple Store (online or retail pricing), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of the iPhone 18 Pro as listed on the official Apple Store website or Apple's retail pricing in the United States on the first official day of its release.
If the price differs between configurations (e.g., base storage vs. higher storage), this market will resolve according to the lower price of the version that includes the full standard iPhone 18 Pro model with no additional features, accessories, or services (e.g., base storage capacity only).
If the iPhone 18 Pro is not released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Apple Store (online or retail pricing), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Volume
$79,858End Date
Mar 31, 2027Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 2:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of the iPhone 18 Pro launches at the listed price or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of the iPhone 18 Pro as listed on the official Apple Store website or Apple's retail pricing in the United States on the first official day of its release.
If the price differs between configurations (e.g., base storage vs. higher storage), this market will resolve according to the lower price of the version that includes the full standard iPhone 18 Pro model with no additional features, accessories, or services (e.g., base storage capacity only).
If the iPhone 18 Pro is not released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Apple Store (online or retail pricing), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of the iPhone 18 Pro launches at the listed price or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of the iPhone 18 Pro as listed on the official Apple Store website or Apple’s retail pricing in the United States on the first official day of its release.
If the price differs between configurations (e.g., base storage vs. higher storage), this market will resolve according to the lower price of the version that includes the full standard iPhone 18 Pro model with no additional features, accessories, or services (e.g., base storage capacity only).
If the iPhone 18 Pro is not released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Apple Store (online or retail pricing), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Apple announced the iPhone 18 Pro on September 9, 2026, confirming a $1,199 starting price for the 256GB model—a $100 increase over the prior generation. The hike stems from sharply higher memory chip costs, with DRAM and NAND prices surging amid AI-driven demand, pushing component expenses up roughly 38 percent year-over-year according to supply-chain analyses. Apple offset some costs through design efficiencies and in-house components but passed along a moderated increase after earlier forecasts of $200-plus rises. Pre-orders opened September 12 with availability set for September 18, aligning with typical launch timelines and providing clear resolution criteria for any related prediction markets.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of the iPhone 18 Pro launches at the listed price or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of the iPhone 18 Pro as listed on the official Apple Store website or Apple's retail pricing in the United States on the first official day of its release.
If the price differs between configurations (e.g., base storage vs. higher storage), this market will resolve according to the lower price of the version that includes the full standard iPhone 18 Pro model with no additional features, accessories, or services (e.g., base storage capacity only).
If the iPhone 18 Pro is not released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Apple Store (online or retail pricing), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of the iPhone 18 Pro as listed on the official Apple Store website or Apple's retail pricing in the United States on the first official day of its release.
If the price differs between configurations (e.g., base storage vs. higher storage), this market will resolve according to the lower price of the version that includes the full standard iPhone 18 Pro model with no additional features, accessories, or services (e.g., base storage capacity only).
If the iPhone 18 Pro is not released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Apple Store (online or retail pricing), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$79,858End Date
Mar 31, 2027Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 2:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Apple announced the iPhone 18 Pro on September 9, 2026, confirming a $1,199 starting price for the 256GB model—a $100 increase over the prior generation. The hike stems from sharply higher memory chip costs, with DRAM and NAND prices surging amid AI-driven demand, pushing component expenses up roughly 38 percent year-over-year according to supply-chain analyses. Apple offset some costs through design efficiencies and in-house components but passed along a moderated increase after earlier forecasts of $200-plus rises. Pre-orders opened September 12 with availability set for September 18, aligning with typical launch timelines and providing clear resolution criteria for any related prediction markets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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