Recent forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and international models indicate Tel Aviv highs near 33–34°C on August 12 under typical summer conditions with clear skies and moderate westerly flow. The near-even split between 34°C and 35°C market odds reflects ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and Mediterranean sea-breeze timing, which can suppress or enhance peak readings by 1°C depending on exact onshore wind onset. Coastal humidity and minimal cloud cover keep variance low, while climatological August averages near 31–32°C provide limited upward bias. Updated model runs and any revisions to steering patterns over the next 48 hours will likely determine whether consensus shifts toward the slightly warmer outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 12?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 12?
34°C 46%
35°C 44%
33°C 7%
36°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 12, 2026
32°C or below
1%
33°C
7%
34°C
46%
35°C
44%
36°C
5%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
34°C 46%
35°C 44%
33°C 7%
36°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 12, 2026
32°C or below
$403 Vol.
1%
33°C
$712 Vol.
7%
34°C
$564 Vol.
46%
35°C
$755 Vol.
44%
36°C
$160 Vol.
5%
37°C
$61 Vol.
2%
38°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$129 Vol.
<1%
41°C
$189 Vol.
<1%
42°C or higher
$441 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and international models indicate Tel Aviv highs near 33–34°C on August 12 under typical summer conditions with clear skies and moderate westerly flow. The near-even split between 34°C and 35°C market odds reflects ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and Mediterranean sea-breeze timing, which can suppress or enhance peak readings by 1°C depending on exact onshore wind onset. Coastal humidity and minimal cloud cover keep variance low, while climatological August averages near 31–32°C provide limited upward bias. Updated model runs and any revisions to steering patterns over the next 48 hours will likely determine whether consensus shifts toward the slightly warmer outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$3,425End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and international models indicate Tel Aviv highs near 33–34°C on August 12 under typical summer conditions with clear skies and moderate westerly flow. The near-even split between 34°C and 35°C market odds reflects ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and Mediterranean sea-breeze timing, which can suppress or enhance peak readings by 1°C depending on exact onshore wind onset. Coastal humidity and minimal cloud cover keep variance low, while climatological August averages near 31–32°C provide limited upward bias. Updated model runs and any revisions to steering patterns over the next 48 hours will likely determine whether consensus shifts toward the slightly warmer outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,425End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and international models indicate Tel Aviv highs near 33–34°C on August 12 under typical summer conditions with clear skies and moderate westerly flow. The near-even split between 34°C and 35°C market odds reflects ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and Mediterranean sea-breeze timing, which can suppress or enhance peak readings by 1°C depending on exact onshore wind onset. Coastal humidity and minimal cloud cover keep variance low, while climatological August averages near 31–32°C provide limited upward bias. Updated model runs and any revisions to steering patterns over the next 48 hours will likely determine whether consensus shifts toward the slightly warmer outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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