Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a highest temperature near 77–80°F at official Los Angeles stations on September 6, driven by a strengthening marine layer and 60% chance of morning showers transitioning to isolated afternoon thunderstorms. Persistent northwest winds around 15 mph and extensive cloud cover will limit solar heating, while any earlier clearing could allow brief warming toward the upper end of that range. This setup aligns with climatological norms for early September, when coastal cooling typically caps highs near the 76.5°F average. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 76–79°F because ensemble forecasts show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any breaks in the stratus, with resolution depending on the official daily maximum at the primary reporting site.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on September 6?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 6?
78-79°F 39%
76-77°F 31%
80-81°F 15%
74-75°F 13%
NEW
$13,479 Vol.
NEW
$13,479 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
31%
78-79°F
39%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 39%
76-77°F 31%
80-81°F 15%
74-75°F 13%
NEW
$13,479 Vol.
NEW
$13,479 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
67°F or below
$922 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$479 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$419 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$415 Vol.
2%
74-75°F
$702 Vol.
13%
76-77°F
$2,955 Vol.
31%
78-79°F
$3,652 Vol.
39%
80-81°F
$1,775 Vol.
15%
82-83°F
$897 Vol.
6%
84-85°F
$754 Vol.
1%
86°F or higher
$508 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a highest temperature near 77–80°F at official Los Angeles stations on September 6, driven by a strengthening marine layer and 60% chance of morning showers transitioning to isolated afternoon thunderstorms. Persistent northwest winds around 15 mph and extensive cloud cover will limit solar heating, while any earlier clearing could allow brief warming toward the upper end of that range. This setup aligns with climatological norms for early September, when coastal cooling typically caps highs near the 76.5°F average. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 76–79°F because ensemble forecasts show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any breaks in the stratus, with resolution depending on the official daily maximum at the primary reporting site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volume
$13,479End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 7:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a highest temperature near 77–80°F at official Los Angeles stations on September 6, driven by a strengthening marine layer and 60% chance of morning showers transitioning to isolated afternoon thunderstorms. Persistent northwest winds around 15 mph and extensive cloud cover will limit solar heating, while any earlier clearing could allow brief warming toward the upper end of that range. This setup aligns with climatological norms for early September, when coastal cooling typically caps highs near the 76.5°F average. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 76–79°F because ensemble forecasts show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any breaks in the stratus, with resolution depending on the official daily maximum at the primary reporting site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,479End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 7:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a highest temperature near 77–80°F at official Los Angeles stations on September 6, driven by a strengthening marine layer and 60% chance of morning showers transitioning to isolated afternoon thunderstorms. Persistent northwest winds around 15 mph and extensive cloud cover will limit solar heating, while any earlier clearing could allow brief warming toward the upper end of that range. This setup aligns with climatological norms for early September, when coastal cooling typically caps highs near the 76.5°F average. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 76–79°F because ensemble forecasts show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any breaks in the stratus, with resolution depending on the official daily maximum at the primary reporting site.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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