Official National Weather Service observations from Houston Intercontinental Airport recorded a daily maximum of 92°F on September 4, 2026, aligning closely with the market's near-certain consensus on the 90–91°F bin. This outcome reflects typical early-September conditions under a persistent subtropical ridge, with afternoon temperatures moderated by scattered cloud cover and brief showers that limited further heating. Historical averages for the date hover near 91°F, and 2026 readings remained within one degree of normal amid stable steering patterns and modest moisture. Resolution hinges on the precise station and rounding rules specified by the market; minor discrepancies between official sites or post-event quality control could theoretically shift the final reported value by a degree.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on September 4?
Highest temperature in Houston on September 4?
90-91°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$46,515 Vol.
$46,515 Vol.
Sep 4, 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
100%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$46,515 Vol.
$46,515 Vol.
Sep 4, 2026
81°F or below
$1,240 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$1,743 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$4,105 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$5,242 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$8,869 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$10,598 Vol.
100%
92-93°F
$10,077 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$2,339 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$1,091 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$592 Vol.
<1%
100°F or higher
$618 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from Houston Intercontinental Airport recorded a daily maximum of 92°F on September 4, 2026, aligning closely with the market's near-certain consensus on the 90–91°F bin. This outcome reflects typical early-September conditions under a persistent subtropical ridge, with afternoon temperatures moderated by scattered cloud cover and brief showers that limited further heating. Historical averages for the date hover near 91°F, and 2026 readings remained within one degree of normal amid stable steering patterns and modest moisture. Resolution hinges on the precise station and rounding rules specified by the market; minor discrepancies between official sites or post-event quality control could theoretically shift the final reported value by a degree.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 2, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$46,515End Date
Sep 4, 2026Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from Houston Intercontinental Airport recorded a daily maximum of 92°F on September 4, 2026, aligning closely with the market's near-certain consensus on the 90–91°F bin. This outcome reflects typical early-September conditions under a persistent subtropical ridge, with afternoon temperatures moderated by scattered cloud cover and brief showers that limited further heating. Historical averages for the date hover near 91°F, and 2026 readings remained within one degree of normal amid stable steering patterns and modest moisture. Resolution hinges on the precise station and rounding rules specified by the market; minor discrepancies between official sites or post-event quality control could theoretically shift the final reported value by a degree.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$46,515End Date
Sep 4, 2026Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service observations from Houston Intercontinental Airport recorded a daily maximum of 92°F on September 4, 2026, aligning closely with the market's near-certain consensus on the 90–91°F bin. This outcome reflects typical early-September conditions under a persistent subtropical ridge, with afternoon temperatures moderated by scattered cloud cover and brief showers that limited further heating. Historical averages for the date hover near 91°F, and 2026 readings remained within one degree of normal amid stable steering patterns and modest moisture. Resolution hinges on the precise station and rounding rules specified by the market; minor discrepancies between official sites or post-event quality control could theoretically shift the final reported value by a degree.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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