**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Chengdu on September 5 centers on 34°C (56%) and 35°C (41.5%), reflecting model consensus for a peak near or slightly above 34°C under clear, sunny skies.** Current observations show afternoon readings climbing through the low-to-mid 30s Celsius with light winds and low humidity, consistent with the “autumn tiger” pattern of late-summer heat in the Sichuan basin. Multiple forecasts, including those aligned with local meteorological updates, project a daily maximum of 32–34°C, while some runs allow brief spikes toward 35°C before evening cooling. Lower probabilities for 36°C or higher align with limited intensification potential and the moderating influence of regional humidity. The market’s tight clustering around these two outcomes captures uncertainty in the final official reading from monitoring stations, with resolution depending on the day’s peak observation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 5?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 5?
34°C 77%
35°C 22%
36°C 2%
38°C or higher <1%
$29,282 Vol.
$29,282 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
74%
35°C
22%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 77%
35°C 22%
36°C 2%
38°C or higher <1%
$29,282 Vol.
$29,282 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
28°C or below
$1,156 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,114 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$879 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,596 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$3,694 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$4,722 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$3,658 Vol.
74%
35°C
$3,362 Vol.
22%
36°C
$2,396 Vol.
2%
37°C
$911 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$4,794 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Chengdu on September 5 centers on 34°C (56%) and 35°C (41.5%), reflecting model consensus for a peak near or slightly above 34°C under clear, sunny skies.**
Current observations show afternoon readings climbing through the low-to-mid 30s Celsius with light winds and low humidity, consistent with the “autumn tiger” pattern of late-summer heat in the Sichuan basin. Multiple forecasts, including those aligned with local meteorological updates, project a daily maximum of 32–34°C, while some runs allow brief spikes toward 35°C before evening cooling. Lower probabilities for 36°C or higher align with limited intensification potential and the moderating influence of regional humidity. The market’s tight clustering around these two outcomes captures uncertainty in the final official reading from monitoring stations, with resolution depending on the day’s peak observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$29,282End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Chengdu on September 5 centers on 34°C (56%) and 35°C (41.5%), reflecting model consensus for a peak near or slightly above 34°C under clear, sunny skies.**
Current observations show afternoon readings climbing through the low-to-mid 30s Celsius with light winds and low humidity, consistent with the “autumn tiger” pattern of late-summer heat in the Sichuan basin. Multiple forecasts, including those aligned with local meteorological updates, project a daily maximum of 32–34°C, while some runs allow brief spikes toward 35°C before evening cooling. Lower probabilities for 36°C or higher align with limited intensification potential and the moderating influence of regional humidity. The market’s tight clustering around these two outcomes captures uncertainty in the final official reading from monitoring stations, with resolution depending on the day’s peak observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$29,282End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Chengdu on September 5 centers on 34°C (56%) and 35°C (41.5%), reflecting model consensus for a peak near or slightly above 34°C under clear, sunny skies.** Current observations show afternoon readings climbing through the low-to-mid 30s Celsius with light winds and low humidity, consistent with the “autumn tiger” pattern of late-summer heat in the Sichuan basin. Multiple forecasts, including those aligned with local meteorological updates, project a daily maximum of 32–34°C, while some runs allow brief spikes toward 35°C before evening cooling. Lower probabilities for 36°C or higher align with limited intensification potential and the moderating influence of regional humidity. The market’s tight clustering around these two outcomes captures uncertainty in the final official reading from monitoring stations, with resolution depending on the day’s peak observation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions