Beijing's highest temperature on September 5 is centered on 33°C in trader consensus, reflecting official forecasts of sunny skies with light southerly winds and afternoon peaks near 32–34°C under clear to mostly clear conditions. Model runs from sources aligned with NOAA and local monitoring show minimal cloud cover and no precipitation to moderate daytime heating, consistent with late-summer climatology where September averages hover around 26°C but recent dry patterns have sustained warmer anomalies. Current observations already reaching the low 30s Celsius by midday, combined with stable high pressure, reinforce the narrow 33–34°C range while limiting upside to 35°C or higher. Updated model guidance and real-time station readings through the afternoon remain the key near-term catalysts for any final adjustments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on September 5?
33°C 93%
34°C 8%
35°C <1%
28°C or below <1%
$25,673 Vol.
$25,673 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
93%
34°C
8%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 93%
34°C 8%
35°C <1%
28°C or below <1%
$25,673 Vol.
$25,673 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
93%
34°C
8%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Beijing's highest temperature on September 5 is centered on 33°C in trader consensus, reflecting official forecasts of sunny skies with light southerly winds and afternoon peaks near 32–34°C under clear to mostly clear conditions. Model runs from sources aligned with NOAA and local monitoring show minimal cloud cover and no precipitation to moderate daytime heating, consistent with late-summer climatology where September averages hover around 26°C but recent dry patterns have sustained warmer anomalies. Current observations already reaching the low 30s Celsius by midday, combined with stable high pressure, reinforce the narrow 33–34°C range while limiting upside to 35°C or higher. Updated model guidance and real-time station readings through the afternoon remain the key near-term catalysts for any final adjustments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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