Persistent supply bottlenecks in TSMC CoWoS packaging and HBM3e memory, alongside data center power constraints, continue to limit B200 availability into late 2026 even as NVIDIA ramps production. Current on-demand rates show wide dispersion—marketplace floors near $3.50/hr versus hyperscaler premiums above $14—with medians around $6, reflecting fragmented access and strong frontier AI demand for training and inference. Traders price the December resolution tightly across $5–7 bins because accelerating Blackwell deployments could ease scarcity while sustained hyperscaler orders, power limits, and potential AMD alternatives keep upward pressure intact; the next-gen Rubin platform remains too early for broad 2026 impact.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$5.50-$6.00 17%
$7.00+ 16%
$5.00-$5.50 10.4%
$4.50-$5.00 10%
$64,706 Vol.
$64,706 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$3.00
4%
$3.00-$3.50
5%
$3.50-$4.00
5%
$4.00-$4.50
7%
$4.50-$5.00
10%
$5.00-$5.50
10%
$5.50-$6.00
17%
$6.00-$6.50
5%
$6.50-$7.00
8%
$7.00+
16%
$5.50-$6.00 17%
$7.00+ 16%
$5.00-$5.50 10.4%
$4.50-$5.00 10%
$64,706 Vol.
$64,706 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$3.00
$3,041 Vol.
4%
$3.00-$3.50
$3,361 Vol.
5%
$3.50-$4.00
$3,834 Vol.
5%
$4.00-$4.50
$4,351 Vol.
7%
$4.50-$5.00
$11,426 Vol.
10%
$5.00-$5.50
$8,197 Vol.
10%
$5.50-$6.00
$6,384 Vol.
17%
$6.00-$6.50
$11,964 Vol.
5%
$6.50-$7.00
$5,559 Vol.
8%
$7.00+
$6,590 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.Persistent supply bottlenecks in TSMC CoWoS packaging and HBM3e memory, alongside data center power constraints, continue to limit B200 availability into late 2026 even as NVIDIA ramps production. Current on-demand rates show wide dispersion—marketplace floors near $3.50/hr versus hyperscaler premiums above $14—with medians around $6, reflecting fragmented access and strong frontier AI demand for training and inference. Traders price the December resolution tightly across $5–7 bins because accelerating Blackwell deployments could ease scarcity while sustained hyperscaler orders, power limits, and potential AMD alternatives keep upward pressure intact; the next-gen Rubin platform remains too early for broad 2026 impact.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
Volume
$64,706End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.Persistent supply bottlenecks in TSMC CoWoS packaging and HBM3e memory, alongside data center power constraints, continue to limit B200 availability into late 2026 even as NVIDIA ramps production. Current on-demand rates show wide dispersion—marketplace floors near $3.50/hr versus hyperscaler premiums above $14—with medians around $6, reflecting fragmented access and strong frontier AI demand for training and inference. Traders price the December resolution tightly across $5–7 bins because accelerating Blackwell deployments could ease scarcity while sustained hyperscaler orders, power limits, and potential AMD alternatives keep upward pressure intact; the next-gen Rubin platform remains too early for broad 2026 impact.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$64,706End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent supply bottlenecks in TSMC CoWoS packaging and HBM3e memory, alongside data center power constraints, continue to limit B200 availability into late 2026 even as NVIDIA ramps production. Current on-demand rates show wide dispersion—marketplace floors near $3.50/hr versus hyperscaler premiums above $14—with medians around $6, reflecting fragmented access and strong frontier AI demand for training and inference. Traders price the December resolution tightly across $5–7 bins because accelerating Blackwell deployments could ease scarcity while sustained hyperscaler orders, power limits, and potential AMD alternatives keep upward pressure intact; the next-gen Rubin platform remains too early for broad 2026 impact.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions