Incumbent Democrat Jason Crow secured his party's nomination in the June 30, 2026 primary for Colorado's 6th congressional district and enters the November general election as a heavy favorite. The suburban Denver-area seat has delivered consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles, including Crow's 59% victory in 2024, reflecting its underlying partisan composition and voter trends. Crow's established fundraising edge, prior electoral record, and lack of significant primary opposition have reinforced trader expectations of a comfortable hold. The Republican nominee, Jason Clark, faces structural headwinds in a district not viewed as competitive by most forecasters. Late developments such as an unforeseen national political shift, candidate-specific controversy, or unusually low turnout could still alter the outcome, though current conditions point to limited volatility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCO-06 House Election Winner
CO-06 House Election Winner
$27,443 Vol.
$27,443 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
6%
$27,443 Vol.
$27,443 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,540 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$12,903 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jason Crow secured his party's nomination in the June 30, 2026 primary for Colorado's 6th congressional district and enters the November general election as a heavy favorite. The suburban Denver-area seat has delivered consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles, including Crow's 59% victory in 2024, reflecting its underlying partisan composition and voter trends. Crow's established fundraising edge, prior electoral record, and lack of significant primary opposition have reinforced trader expectations of a comfortable hold. The Republican nominee, Jason Clark, faces structural headwinds in a district not viewed as competitive by most forecasters. Late developments such as an unforeseen national political shift, candidate-specific controversy, or unusually low turnout could still alter the outcome, though current conditions point to limited volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$27,443End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jason Crow secured his party's nomination in the June 30, 2026 primary for Colorado's 6th congressional district and enters the November general election as a heavy favorite. The suburban Denver-area seat has delivered consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles, including Crow's 59% victory in 2024, reflecting its underlying partisan composition and voter trends. Crow's established fundraising edge, prior electoral record, and lack of significant primary opposition have reinforced trader expectations of a comfortable hold. The Republican nominee, Jason Clark, faces structural headwinds in a district not viewed as competitive by most forecasters. Late developments such as an unforeseen national political shift, candidate-specific controversy, or unusually low turnout could still alter the outcome, though current conditions point to limited volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$27,443End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jason Crow secured his party's nomination in the June 30, 2026 primary for Colorado's 6th congressional district and enters the November general election as a heavy favorite. The suburban Denver-area seat has delivered consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles, including Crow's 59% victory in 2024, reflecting its underlying partisan composition and voter trends. Crow's established fundraising edge, prior electoral record, and lack of significant primary opposition have reinforced trader expectations of a comfortable hold. The Republican nominee, Jason Clark, faces structural headwinds in a district not viewed as competitive by most forecasters. Late developments such as an unforeseen national political shift, candidate-specific controversy, or unusually low turnout could still alter the outcome, though current conditions point to limited volatility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions