Recent energy price volatility tied to Middle East developments has kept Canada's headline CPI near 3% through July 2026, with the latest reading at 3.0% year-over-year, while core measures remain anchored around 2%. The Bank of Canada's July Monetary Policy Report projects inflation easing toward 2.5% over the second half of the year, contingent on declining oil prices and narrower gasoline margins, before returning to the 2% target in early 2027. Soft labor market conditions and excess economic capacity continue to limit underlying pressures. With the August CPI release due shortly and ongoing geopolitical risks, market-implied odds favor the 2.5–2.9% annual range at 38.3% over the closely contested 3.0–3.4% band at 31.8%, reflecting trader consensus on the central bank's baseline path amid elevated uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCanada Annual Inflation 2026
Canada Annual Inflation 2026
2.5–2.9% 36.0%
3.0-3.4% 27.8%
1.5–1.9% 13.3%
3.5-3.9% 13.2%
$41,877 Vol.
$41,877 Vol.
Jan 17, 2027
<1.0%
2%
1.0–1.4%
3%
1.5–1.9%
9%
2.0–2.4%
12%
2.5–2.9%
36%
3.0-3.4%
32%
3.5-3.9%
13%
4.0%+
4%
2.5–2.9% 36.0%
3.0-3.4% 27.8%
1.5–1.9% 13.3%
3.5-3.9% 13.2%
$41,877 Vol.
$41,877 Vol.
Jan 17, 2027
<1.0%
$1,220 Vol.
2%
1.0–1.4%
$5,465 Vol.
3%
1.5–1.9%
$3,466 Vol.
9%
2.0–2.4%
$2,535 Vol.
12%
2.5–2.9%
$10,195 Vol.
36%
3.0-3.4%
$14,248 Vol.
32%
3.5-3.9%
$4,209 Vol.
13%
4.0%+
$539 Vol.
4%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Recent energy price volatility tied to Middle East developments has kept Canada's headline CPI near 3% through July 2026, with the latest reading at 3.0% year-over-year, while core measures remain anchored around 2%. The Bank of Canada's July Monetary Policy Report projects inflation easing toward 2.5% over the second half of the year, contingent on declining oil prices and narrower gasoline margins, before returning to the 2% target in early 2027. Soft labor market conditions and excess economic capacity continue to limit underlying pressures. With the August CPI release due shortly and ongoing geopolitical risks, market-implied odds favor the 2.5–2.9% annual range at 38.3% over the closely contested 3.0–3.4% band at 31.8%, reflecting trader consensus on the central bank's baseline path amid elevated uncertainty.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Market Opened: Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Volume
$41,877End Date
Jan 18, 2027Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Recent energy price volatility tied to Middle East developments has kept Canada's headline CPI near 3% through July 2026, with the latest reading at 3.0% year-over-year, while core measures remain anchored around 2%. The Bank of Canada's July Monetary Policy Report projects inflation easing toward 2.5% over the second half of the year, contingent on declining oil prices and narrower gasoline margins, before returning to the 2% target in early 2027. Soft labor market conditions and excess economic capacity continue to limit underlying pressures. With the August CPI release due shortly and ongoing geopolitical risks, market-implied odds favor the 2.5–2.9% annual range at 38.3% over the closely contested 3.0–3.4% band at 31.8%, reflecting trader consensus on the central bank's baseline path amid elevated uncertainty.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Volume
$41,877End Date
Jan 18, 2027Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent energy price volatility tied to Middle East developments has kept Canada's headline CPI near 3% through July 2026, with the latest reading at 3.0% year-over-year, while core measures remain anchored around 2%. The Bank of Canada's July Monetary Policy Report projects inflation easing toward 2.5% over the second half of the year, contingent on declining oil prices and narrower gasoline margins, before returning to the 2% target in early 2027. Soft labor market conditions and excess economic capacity continue to limit underlying pressures. With the August CPI release due shortly and ongoing geopolitical risks, market-implied odds favor the 2.5–2.9% annual range at 38.3% over the closely contested 3.0–3.4% band at 31.8%, reflecting trader consensus on the central bank's baseline path amid elevated uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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