Israeli leaders have maintained a fragile October 2025 ceasefire in Gaza while expanding the “Yellow Line” control zone to roughly 60 percent of the territory through incremental advances, new markers, and limited incursions, with Prime Minister Netanyahu publicly directing forces to reach 70 percent control absent full Hamas disarmament. Recent developments include a September 1, 2026 special-forces raid in Gaza City that captured a senior Hamas internal-security official and killed four Palestinians, alongside continued strikes that have caused over 1,300 deaths since the truce. U.S.-backed efforts to advance a second-phase plan linking Israeli withdrawal to verified disarmament remain stalled, with mediators in Cairo reporting no agreement. Traders weigh these incremental operations and political statements against the absence of a renewed large-scale ground maneuver, alongside upcoming Israeli elections and diplomatic timelines that could shift the risk of escalation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$755,875 Vol.
30 oct 2025
31 de diciembre
12%
$755,875 Vol.
31 de diciembre
$106,244 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli leaders have maintained a fragile October 2025 ceasefire in Gaza while expanding the “Yellow Line” control zone to roughly 60 percent of the territory through incremental advances, new markers, and limited incursions, with Prime Minister Netanyahu publicly directing forces to reach 70 percent control absent full Hamas disarmament. Recent developments include a September 1, 2026 special-forces raid in Gaza City that captured a senior Hamas internal-security official and killed four Palestinians, alongside continued strikes that have caused over 1,300 deaths since the truce. U.S.-backed efforts to advance a second-phase plan linking Israeli withdrawal to verified disarmament remain stalled, with mediators in Cairo reporting no agreement. Traders weigh these incremental operations and political statements against the absence of a renewed large-scale ground maneuver, alongside upcoming Israeli elections and diplomatic timelines that could shift the risk of escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ET
Volumen
$755,875Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2025Mercado abierto
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli leaders have maintained a fragile October 2025 ceasefire in Gaza while expanding the “Yellow Line” control zone to roughly 60 percent of the territory through incremental advances, new markers, and limited incursions, with Prime Minister Netanyahu publicly directing forces to reach 70 percent control absent full Hamas disarmament. Recent developments include a September 1, 2026 special-forces raid in Gaza City that captured a senior Hamas internal-security official and killed four Palestinians, alongside continued strikes that have caused over 1,300 deaths since the truce. U.S.-backed efforts to advance a second-phase plan linking Israeli withdrawal to verified disarmament remain stalled, with mediators in Cairo reporting no agreement. Traders weigh these incremental operations and political statements against the absence of a renewed large-scale ground maneuver, alongside upcoming Israeli elections and diplomatic timelines that could shift the risk of escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$755,875Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2025Mercado abierto
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli leaders have maintained a fragile October 2025 ceasefire in Gaza while expanding the “Yellow Line” control zone to roughly 60 percent of the territory through incremental advances, new markers, and limited incursions, with Prime Minister Netanyahu publicly directing forces to reach 70 percent control absent full Hamas disarmament. Recent developments include a September 1, 2026 special-forces raid in Gaza City that captured a senior Hamas internal-security official and killed four Palestinians, alongside continued strikes that have caused over 1,300 deaths since the truce. U.S.-backed efforts to advance a second-phase plan linking Israeli withdrawal to verified disarmament remain stalled, with mediators in Cairo reporting no agreement. Traders weigh these incremental operations and political statements against the absence of a renewed large-scale ground maneuver, alongside upcoming Israeli elections and diplomatic timelines that could shift the risk of escalation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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