Kevin Warsh, Federal Reserve Chair, delivered a hawkish Jackson Hole speech on August 28 emphasizing that PCE inflation at 3.7% year-over-year (with a 4.1% six-month rate) shows insufficient underlying progress toward the 2% target, stating the Fed has “work to do” and short-term rates remain the primary tool. This shifted trader expectations, lifting the implied probability of a September 15-16 rate hike above 50% per futures pricing. The next CPI release on September 11 will shape the FOMC statement and press conference tone, while Warsh’s prior conferences have centered on inflation frequency, price stability commitments, and resistance to detailed forward guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNUEVO
16 sep 2026
Inflation 40+ times
43%
Inflation 20+ times
57%
Task Force 10+ times
46%
Good Day
88%
Good Afternoon
10%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
86%
Labor Force
45%
Scenario
47%
Echo
45%
Software
45%
Pressure
45%
Luck / Lucky
45%
Dissent
21%
Trump
7%
Productivity
85%
Bet / Betting
54%
Projection
70%
Balance Sheet
77%
Pandemic
61%
Anchor / Anchored
27%
Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas
42%
-No Qualifying Event-
39%
$270 Vol.
Inflation 40+ times
$0 Vol.
43%
Inflation 20+ times
$0 Vol.
57%
Task Force 10+ times
$0 Vol.
46%
Good Day
$7 Vol.
88%
Good Afternoon
$0 Vol.
10%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
$158 Vol.
86%
Labor Force
$0 Vol.
45%
Scenario
$0 Vol.
47%
Echo
$0 Vol.
45%
Software
$0 Vol.
45%
Pressure
$0 Vol.
45%
Luck / Lucky
$0 Vol.
45%
Dissent
$0 Vol.
21%
Trump
$0 Vol.
7%
Productivity
$0 Vol.
85%
Bet / Betting
$0 Vol.
54%
Projection
$0 Vol.
70%
Balance Sheet
$0 Vol.
77%
Pandemic
$2 Vol.
61%
Anchor / Anchored
$0 Vol.
27%
Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas
$0 Vol.
42%
-No Qualifying Event-
$104 Vol.
39%
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on September 16, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no such statement by Warsh happens by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfKevin Warsh, Federal Reserve Chair, delivered a hawkish Jackson Hole speech on August 28 emphasizing that PCE inflation at 3.7% year-over-year (with a 4.1% six-month rate) shows insufficient underlying progress toward the 2% target, stating the Fed has “work to do” and short-term rates remain the primary tool. This shifted trader expectations, lifting the implied probability of a September 15-16 rate hike above 50% per futures pricing. The next CPI release on September 11 will shape the FOMC statement and press conference tone, while Warsh’s prior conferences have centered on inflation frequency, price stability commitments, and resistance to detailed forward guidance.
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on September 16, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no such statement by Warsh happens by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no such statement by Warsh happens by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Mercado abierto: Sep 9, 2026, 7:18 PM ET
Volumen
$270Fecha de finalización
16 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 9, 2026, 7:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on September 16, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no such statement by Warsh happens by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfKevin Warsh, Federal Reserve Chair, delivered a hawkish Jackson Hole speech on August 28 emphasizing that PCE inflation at 3.7% year-over-year (with a 4.1% six-month rate) shows insufficient underlying progress toward the 2% target, stating the Fed has “work to do” and short-term rates remain the primary tool. This shifted trader expectations, lifting the implied probability of a September 15-16 rate hike above 50% per futures pricing. The next CPI release on September 11 will shape the FOMC statement and press conference tone, while Warsh’s prior conferences have centered on inflation frequency, price stability commitments, and resistance to detailed forward guidance.
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on September 16, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no such statement by Warsh happens by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no such statement by Warsh happens by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Volumen
$270Fecha de finalización
16 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 9, 2026, 7:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Kevin Warsh, Federal Reserve Chair, delivered a hawkish Jackson Hole speech on August 28 emphasizing that PCE inflation at 3.7% year-over-year (with a 4.1% six-month rate) shows insufficient underlying progress toward the 2% target, stating the Fed has “work to do” and short-term rates remain the primary tool. This shifted trader expectations, lifting the implied probability of a September 15-16 rate hike above 50% per futures pricing. The next CPI release on September 11 will shape the FOMC statement and press conference tone, while Warsh’s prior conferences have centered on inflation frequency, price stability commitments, and resistance to detailed forward guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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