Recent inflation data showing a 4.2% June CPI print, fueled by energy supply shocks and Middle East tensions, alongside resilient labor markets and Treasury yields, has elevated expectations for a more restrictive policy path into 2027. The July FOMC decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% with three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point hike underscores internal divisions under Chair Kevin Warsh, with the dot plot reflecting nine participants anticipating tighter conditions by year-end. These dynamics create competitive pricing between zero and one dissent for the January 2027 meeting, as traders weigh whether persistent above-target inflation and geopolitical risks will sustain hawkish sentiment or yield to incoming data releases that could unify the committee around the prevailing stance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Cuántos disidentes en la reunión de la Fed de enero?
¿Cuántos disidentes en la reunión de la Fed de enero?
0 33%
1 28%
2 23%
3 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
27 ene 2027
0
33%
1
28%
2
16%
3
16%
4 o más
7%
0 33%
1 28%
2 23%
3 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
27 ene 2027
0
$216 Vol.
33%
1
$31 Vol.
28%
2
$56 Vol.
16%
3
$146 Vol.
16%
4 o más
$5 Vol.
7%
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent inflation data showing a 4.2% June CPI print, fueled by energy supply shocks and Middle East tensions, alongside resilient labor markets and Treasury yields, has elevated expectations for a more restrictive policy path into 2027. The July FOMC decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% with three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point hike underscores internal divisions under Chair Kevin Warsh, with the dot plot reflecting nine participants anticipating tighter conditions by year-end. These dynamics create competitive pricing between zero and one dissent for the January 2027 meeting, as traders weigh whether persistent above-target inflation and geopolitical risks will sustain hawkish sentiment or yield to incoming data releases that could unify the committee around the prevailing stance.
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Volumen
$454Fecha de finalización
27 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent inflation data showing a 4.2% June CPI print, fueled by energy supply shocks and Middle East tensions, alongside resilient labor markets and Treasury yields, has elevated expectations for a more restrictive policy path into 2027. The July FOMC decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% with three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point hike underscores internal divisions under Chair Kevin Warsh, with the dot plot reflecting nine participants anticipating tighter conditions by year-end. These dynamics create competitive pricing between zero and one dissent for the January 2027 meeting, as traders weigh whether persistent above-target inflation and geopolitical risks will sustain hawkish sentiment or yield to incoming data releases that could unify the committee around the prevailing stance.
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$454Fecha de finalización
27 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent inflation data showing a 4.2% June CPI print, fueled by energy supply shocks and Middle East tensions, alongside resilient labor markets and Treasury yields, has elevated expectations for a more restrictive policy path into 2027. The July FOMC decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% with three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point hike underscores internal divisions under Chair Kevin Warsh, with the dot plot reflecting nine participants anticipating tighter conditions by year-end. These dynamics create competitive pricing between zero and one dissent for the January 2027 meeting, as traders weigh whether persistent above-target inflation and geopolitical risks will sustain hawkish sentiment or yield to incoming data releases that could unify the committee around the prevailing stance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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