Elevated inflation readings, with headline PCE near 3.7% and core measures around 3.3% through July, alongside a stable labor market at roughly 4.1% unemployment, anchor trader expectations for a divided October 27-28 FOMC vote. Recent July minutes and the 9-3 hold decision—with three hawkish dissents favoring an immediate 25-basis-point hike—highlight persistent splits between members prioritizing price stability and those favoring patience amid supply shocks and energy pressures. The September 15-16 meeting, August CPI release on September 11, and any shifts in Fed communications under Chair Warsh represent key near-term catalysts that could alter the balance of views. Current closely matched implied probabilities reflect this data-dependent uncertainty and the committee's skin-in-the-game assessment of risks on both sides of the dual mandate.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Cuántos disidentes en la reunión de la Fed de octubre?
¿Cuántos disidentes en la reunión de la Fed de octubre?
3 25%
2 22%
1 21%
4+ 17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
28 oct 2026
0
15%
1
21%
2
22%
3
25%
4+
17%
3 25%
2 22%
1 21%
4+ 17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
28 oct 2026
0
$320 Vol.
15%
1
$345 Vol.
21%
2
$320 Vol.
22%
3
$340 Vol.
25%
4+
$689 Vol.
17%
The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Elevated inflation readings, with headline PCE near 3.7% and core measures around 3.3% through July, alongside a stable labor market at roughly 4.1% unemployment, anchor trader expectations for a divided October 27-28 FOMC vote. Recent July minutes and the 9-3 hold decision—with three hawkish dissents favoring an immediate 25-basis-point hike—highlight persistent splits between members prioritizing price stability and those favoring patience amid supply shocks and energy pressures. The September 15-16 meeting, August CPI release on September 11, and any shifts in Fed communications under Chair Warsh represent key near-term catalysts that could alter the balance of views. Current closely matched implied probabilities reflect this data-dependent uncertainty and the committee's skin-in-the-game assessment of risks on both sides of the dual mandate.
The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Sep 8, 2026, 4:31 PM ET
Volumen
$2,014Fecha de finalización
28 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 4:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Elevated inflation readings, with headline PCE near 3.7% and core measures around 3.3% through July, alongside a stable labor market at roughly 4.1% unemployment, anchor trader expectations for a divided October 27-28 FOMC vote. Recent July minutes and the 9-3 hold decision—with three hawkish dissents favoring an immediate 25-basis-point hike—highlight persistent splits between members prioritizing price stability and those favoring patience amid supply shocks and energy pressures. The September 15-16 meeting, August CPI release on September 11, and any shifts in Fed communications under Chair Warsh represent key near-term catalysts that could alter the balance of views. Current closely matched implied probabilities reflect this data-dependent uncertainty and the committee's skin-in-the-game assessment of risks on both sides of the dual mandate.
The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$2,014Fecha de finalización
28 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 4:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elevated inflation readings, with headline PCE near 3.7% and core measures around 3.3% through July, alongside a stable labor market at roughly 4.1% unemployment, anchor trader expectations for a divided October 27-28 FOMC vote. Recent July minutes and the 9-3 hold decision—with three hawkish dissents favoring an immediate 25-basis-point hike—highlight persistent splits between members prioritizing price stability and those favoring patience amid supply shocks and energy pressures. The September 15-16 meeting, August CPI release on September 11, and any shifts in Fed communications under Chair Warsh represent key near-term catalysts that could alter the balance of views. Current closely matched implied probabilities reflect this data-dependent uncertainty and the committee's skin-in-the-game assessment of risks on both sides of the dual mandate.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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