Z.ai has emerged as the clear market favorite at 62.9% implied probability to rank as the third-best lab on the Text Arena Math leaderboard by end of September, driven by the strong recent performance of its GLM-5.3 series models. Released in mid-August 2026, GLM-5.3 and the efficient GLM-5.3-Flash variant achieved competitive Elo scores around 1504–1513 on the math category, placing multiple entries in the global top 10–12 amid Anthropic’s continued dominance at the very top with Claude variants scoring above 1520. Z.ai’s open-weight MIT-licensed releases, combined with production-scale inference optimizations on domestic hardware and rapid user adoption exceeding 62 trillion tokens in days, have elevated the lab’s lab-level ranking in math-focused arenas. With resolution imminent, traders appear to discount near-term shifts from established U.S. frontier labs or other Chinese contenders like Moonshot and Alibaba, whose models trail in the latest snapshots.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoZ.ai 62.9%
Alibaba 18%
Google 8%
Meta 6.7%
$66,332 Vol.
$66,332 Vol.
30 sep 2026
Z.ai
63%
Alibaba
18%
8%
Meta
7%
OpenAI
5%
Moonshot
3%
SpaceXAI
1%
Xiaomi
1%
DeepSeek
1%
MiniMax
1%
Anthropic
1%
Baidu
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Bytedance
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Z.ai 62.9%
Alibaba 18%
Google 8%
Meta 6.7%
$66,332 Vol.
$66,332 Vol.
30 sep 2026
Z.ai
$7,731 Vol.
63%
Alibaba
$14,096 Vol.
18%
$7,963 Vol.
8%
Meta
$2,007 Vol.
7%
OpenAI
$9,945 Vol.
5%
Moonshot
$2,837 Vol.
3%
SpaceXAI
$2,002 Vol.
1%
Xiaomi
$1,803 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$1,535 Vol.
1%
MiniMax
$2,649 Vol.
1%
Anthropic
$2,720 Vol.
1%
Baidu
$2,642 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$1,569 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$1,560 Vol.
<1%
Nvidia
$743 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$756 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$575 Vol.
<1%
Bytedance
$916 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$1,586 Vol.
<1%
StepFun
$698 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Z.ai has emerged as the clear market favorite at 62.9% implied probability to rank as the third-best lab on the Text Arena Math leaderboard by end of September, driven by the strong recent performance of its GLM-5.3 series models. Released in mid-August 2026, GLM-5.3 and the efficient GLM-5.3-Flash variant achieved competitive Elo scores around 1504–1513 on the math category, placing multiple entries in the global top 10–12 amid Anthropic’s continued dominance at the very top with Claude variants scoring above 1520. Z.ai’s open-weight MIT-licensed releases, combined with production-scale inference optimizations on domestic hardware and rapid user adoption exceeding 62 trillion tokens in days, have elevated the lab’s lab-level ranking in math-focused arenas. With resolution imminent, traders appear to discount near-term shifts from established U.S. frontier labs or other Chinese contenders like Moonshot and Alibaba, whose models trail in the latest snapshots.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercado abierto: Jul 24, 2026, 7:55 PM ET
Volumen
$66,332Fecha de finalización
1 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 24, 2026, 7:55 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Z.ai has emerged as the clear market favorite at 62.9% implied probability to rank as the third-best lab on the Text Arena Math leaderboard by end of September, driven by the strong recent performance of its GLM-5.3 series models. Released in mid-August 2026, GLM-5.3 and the efficient GLM-5.3-Flash variant achieved competitive Elo scores around 1504–1513 on the math category, placing multiple entries in the global top 10–12 amid Anthropic’s continued dominance at the very top with Claude variants scoring above 1520. Z.ai’s open-weight MIT-licensed releases, combined with production-scale inference optimizations on domestic hardware and rapid user adoption exceeding 62 trillion tokens in days, have elevated the lab’s lab-level ranking in math-focused arenas. With resolution imminent, traders appear to discount near-term shifts from established U.S. frontier labs or other Chinese contenders like Moonshot and Alibaba, whose models trail in the latest snapshots.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volumen
$66,332Fecha de finalización
1 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 24, 2026, 7:55 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsResolver
0x69c47De9D...Z.ai has emerged as the clear market favorite at 62.9% implied probability to rank as the third-best lab on the Text Arena Math leaderboard by end of September, driven by the strong recent performance of its GLM-5.3 series models. Released in mid-August 2026, GLM-5.3 and the efficient GLM-5.3-Flash variant achieved competitive Elo scores around 1504–1513 on the math category, placing multiple entries in the global top 10–12 amid Anthropic’s continued dominance at the very top with Claude variants scoring above 1520. Z.ai’s open-weight MIT-licensed releases, combined with production-scale inference optimizations on domestic hardware and rapid user adoption exceeding 62 trillion tokens in days, have elevated the lab’s lab-level ranking in math-focused arenas. With resolution imminent, traders appear to discount near-term shifts from established U.S. frontier labs or other Chinese contenders like Moonshot and Alibaba, whose models trail in the latest snapshots.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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