Recent opinion polls place the Swedish Social Democrats (S) in a narrow band around 30-32 percent, with the latest Demoskop survey from late July to early August showing 30.2 percent and earlier Novus and Indikator readings at 31.8-32.5 percent. This stability, amid a modest narrowing of the center-left opposition bloc's overall lead over the Tidö governing alliance, keeps trader consensus concentrated on the 27-33 percent ranges. Magdalena Andersson's party has held steady as the largest single force ahead of the September 13 election, yet small shifts in turnout among swing voters, economic sentiment, or Sweden Democrats mobilization could still push the final S result across the key thresholds separating the leading market outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoElecciones parlamentarias en Suecia: ¿S voto compartido?
Elecciones parlamentarias en Suecia: ¿S voto compartido?
30-33% 35%
27-30% 29%
33%+ 26%
<27% 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 sep 2026
<27%
9%
27-30%
29%
30-33%
35%
33%+
26%
30-33% 35%
27-30% 29%
33%+ 26%
<27% 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 sep 2026
<27%
$131 Vol.
9%
27-30%
$0 Vol.
29%
30-33%
$108 Vol.
35%
33%+
$0 Vol.
26%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent opinion polls place the Swedish Social Democrats (S) in a narrow band around 30-32 percent, with the latest Demoskop survey from late July to early August showing 30.2 percent and earlier Novus and Indikator readings at 31.8-32.5 percent. This stability, amid a modest narrowing of the center-left opposition bloc's overall lead over the Tidö governing alliance, keeps trader consensus concentrated on the 27-33 percent ranges. Magdalena Andersson's party has held steady as the largest single force ahead of the September 13 election, yet small shifts in turnout among swing voters, economic sentiment, or Sweden Democrats mobilization could still push the final S result across the key thresholds separating the leading market outcomes.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Mercado abierto: Aug 13, 2026, 5:42 AM ET
Volumen
$239Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 5:42 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent opinion polls place the Swedish Social Democrats (S) in a narrow band around 30-32 percent, with the latest Demoskop survey from late July to early August showing 30.2 percent and earlier Novus and Indikator readings at 31.8-32.5 percent. This stability, amid a modest narrowing of the center-left opposition bloc's overall lead over the Tidö governing alliance, keeps trader consensus concentrated on the 27-33 percent ranges. Magdalena Andersson's party has held steady as the largest single force ahead of the September 13 election, yet small shifts in turnout among swing voters, economic sentiment, or Sweden Democrats mobilization could still push the final S result across the key thresholds separating the leading market outcomes.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volumen
$239Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 5:42 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent opinion polls place the Swedish Social Democrats (S) in a narrow band around 30-32 percent, with the latest Demoskop survey from late July to early August showing 30.2 percent and earlier Novus and Indikator readings at 31.8-32.5 percent. This stability, amid a modest narrowing of the center-left opposition bloc's overall lead over the Tidö governing alliance, keeps trader consensus concentrated on the 27-33 percent ranges. Magdalena Andersson's party has held steady as the largest single force ahead of the September 13 election, yet small shifts in turnout among swing voters, economic sentiment, or Sweden Democrats mobilization could still push the final S result across the key thresholds separating the leading market outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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